Market Returns After 1st Rate Cut? | AI Revolution Like 1990s Internet? | What If They're Wrong on Rates?

Market Returns After 1st Rate Cut? | AI Revolution Like 1990s Internet? | What If They're Wrong on Rates?

Author: Derek Moore July 15, 2024 Duration: 48:26

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli are back together to discuss what happens after the Fed makes its first rate cut historically in markets. Plus, what if everyone is wrong about rate cuts? Then, they look at the historical spread between inflation and the Fed Funds rate plus how would investors take the other side of rate cuts? Finally, they discuss the idea of this being the 1990s all over again with AI as a technological revolution like the internet boom?

 

Earnings season is in full bloom

Fed Funds rate vs the YoY CPI Inflation comparison

Why historically Fed Funds does not have to equal annual inflation

What is the Fed afraid of?

Nasdaq Composite returns after major releases of new technologies

Record call volume on the IWM ETF (Russell 2000)

Total return for markets 12 months post 1st rate cut going back to 1974

Implied interest rate based on fed funds futures

VIX and the market both go up?

 

Mentioned in this Episode

 

Podcast 1994-95 All Over Again in Markets? https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/1994-95-all-over-again-in-markets/id1432836154?i=1000590865306

 

Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT

 

Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt

 

Derek's new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag

 

Contact Derek derek.moore@zegafinancial.com

 

www.zegafinancial.com


Derek Moore hosts Broken Pie Chart, a podcast that digs into the practical realities of managing money in a complex world. The name comes from the idea that traditional, rigid models for investing and planning often don't reflect real life. Each episode takes a specific concept-whether it's portfolio construction, market behavior, or preparing for retirement-and breaks it down into straightforward conversation. You'll hear clear explanations of economic trends and financial principles without the jargon, focusing on how these ideas actually impact personal and professional decisions. This isn't about hot stock tips; it's about building a durable understanding of how markets and the economy function. The goal is to provide listeners with a stronger foundation for their own financial choices, making seemingly opaque topics accessible and relevant. Tune in for a thoughtful, grounded perspective that challenges conventional wisdom and simplifies the complicated.
Author: Language: English Episodes: 100

Broken Pie Chart
Podcast Episodes
INTC vs NVDA | Prediction Markets Scam | Mag 7 Big Earnings Week [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 1:00:08
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to talk about semiconductors and the relative surprising performance of Intel vs Nvidia. Plus, they examine forward PE ratios and how stocks making new all-time high…