First Mining Gold (TSX:FF) - 'Undervalued?' Investment Series, with Dan Wilton

First Mining Gold (TSX:FF) - 'Undervalued?' Investment Series, with Dan Wilton

Author: Crux Investor April 2, 2026 Duration: 30:15

Interview with Dan Wilton, CEO of First Mining Gold Corp.

Our previous interview: https://www.cruxinvestor.com/posts/first-mining-gold-tsxff-major-ea-catalyst-due-q2-2026-as-springpole-advances-toward-development-9452

Recording date: 30th March 2026

First Mining Gold Corp. (TSX:FF) is approaching what CEO Dan Wilton describes as the most consequential moment in the company's history. After eight years navigating Canada's federal environmental assessment process for its flagship Springpole Gold Project in northwestern Ontario, a permitting decision is expected within months. Management believes this single event will be the catalyst that forces the market to reprice assets it has consistently undervalued.

Springpole is not a marginal project. The deposit holds a 5 million ounce resource and is designed to produce more than 300,000 ounces of gold per year, placing it among Canada's ten largest gold mines when built. The operation runs at a sub-3:1 strip ratio with manageable metallurgy, and the feasibility study was built on a conservative $3,100/oz gold base case. At $4,000/oz, The after-tax NPV is approximately $3 billion. The project remains economically viable at $2,500/oz, which provides meaningful downside protection in any scenario of gold price weakness.

Despite these attributes, First Mining's shares were trading at roughly $0.47, a level management estimates at approximately 0.1x net asset value. Wilton puts the fundamental per-share value at over $5, implying the current share price represents a discount of roughly 90% to intrinsic value. That gap, as Wilton argues, is a product of a broader structural failure in the gold developer segment: for the better part of a decade, capital simply was not available to advance projects through permitting and feasibility, and many developers stalled or gave up. First Mining kept moving by monetising secondary assets, generating close to $100 million in cash over five years to fund continued progress. The result is a company that now holds two of the ten largest undeveloped gold projects in Canada at a moment when shovel-ready opportunities are genuinely scarce.

The second project, Duparquet, located in Quebec's Abitibi gold belt, adds a layer of optionality the market appears to be pricing at zero. At current gold prices, management estimates Duparquet's NPV at approximately $3 billion. The geology team believes the deposit is on a trajectory toward 10 million ounces. Yet for practical purposes, investors are currently acquiring both projects at a price that reflects neither.

The strategic context matters too. Major gold producers are now trading at mid-cycle NAV multiples, their reserve pipelines are thinning, and exploration cannot solve the problem on any relevant timeline. A discovery made today is fifteen or more years from production. That dynamic points to intensifying M&A pressure around advanced developers, of which there are very few, with the combination of scale, jurisdiction quality, and near-term permitting visibility that First Mining offers. The company has indicated openness to partnership structures that would preserve meaningful shareholder participation.

The near-term risk is binary: the environmental assessment outcome matters enormously. But for investors who believe the permitting decision will go the right way as the management does, the current entry point offers exposure to a potential multi-hundred percent re-rating driven by catalysts that are already in motion.

View First Mining Gold's company profile: https://www.cruxinvestor.com/companies/first-mining-gold

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Navigating the volatile world of junior mining investments requires more than just data-it demands clear, unvarnished conversation. That’s the space occupied by Company Interviews from Crux Investor. Here, hosts Matthew Gordon and Merlin Marr-Johnson engage directly with company executives, moving past promotional talk to uncover the tangible details that matter. Their discussions focus on the operational realities, financial health, and strategic decisions that signal a company’s genuine potential, rather than speculative hype. This podcast strips away the industry’s complex jargon and inherent biases, offering listeners a grounded perspective on where true opportunity might lie. For anyone interested in the fundamentals behind mining ventures, these conversations provide a crucial filter. Each episode is a deep dive into a specific company’s story, examining the key factors that could indicate a strong footing for future growth. It’s a resource for building understanding, not just a list of tips. By focusing on substantive dialogue, the series aims to equip its audience with the insight needed to make more informed decisions in a notoriously challenging sector. Tune in for direct, no-nonsense interviews that cut through the bluster.
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