A HUGE RB Pivot - The Data Show (What Are The Odds) | Dynasty Fantasy Football Podcast Ep. 831

A HUGE RB Pivot - The Data Show (What Are The Odds) | Dynasty Fantasy Football Podcast Ep. 831

Author: Dynasty Fantasy Football May 14, 2026 Duration: 57:08
Google sheets for data: RBs: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1idJmPno8MCI-WUdCG0f5wXAwngaztZj7V0xTiNI1HJY/edit?usp=sharing QBs: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1bJyn6KrrOktHVAFI90buniA3G8iGmogqD9Fv6WFSwwI/edit?usp=sharing WRs: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qwxHm7lMHQ7kZecVZUuWQd1AhaXoKzEUQaqYpQf2tfw/edit?usp=sharing TEs: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1FSwzXR62EG_CyBg77BaS8BV0iBLd7ZUoA7Ll8eqEtXE/edit?usp=sharing The Dynasty Nerds crew is back with their annual “repeat rate” deep dive, breaking down how often elite fantasy finishes actually repeat year to year and what that means for building dynasty rosters. Rich Dotson, Matt O'Hara, and Garret Price walk through the biggest shifts in the data, with the running back position showing the most meaningful change. Listen to This Episode: Apple Podcasts Spotify YouTube The headline is the pivot at RB. Historically, most top 12 RB seasons were one and done, but now only 43.75% of RB1 seasons are single year hits, meaning 56% plus repeat. Even wilder, about 40.6% of RB1 seasons come from backs who eventually log three or more RB1 years. That shift strengthens the case for locking in young cornerstone backs like Bijan Robinson and Jahmyr Gibbs, who already have three RB1 seasons in three years, while Kyren Williams keeps beating the “other shoe” narrative by repeating without elite peak finishes. At QB, Josh Allen is in historic territory with seven top six seasons in eight years, and a massive top three hit rate. The show also notes how rare four top six seasons are, which keeps Patrick Mahomes and Dak Prescott in elite company even when real life value and fantasy value diverge. Start Using the Film Room Today! FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Orphan Team! 00:00 Start 03:33 A Pivot in the RB Data 25:37 Top QB Hit Rates 38:25 FFPC 39:40 Top WR Hit Rates 48:40 Top TE Hit Rates Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

For those immersed in the multi-year chess match of dynasty fantasy football, the Dynasty Nerds Podcast | Dynasty Fantasy Football offers a deep, ongoing conversation. This isn't just weekly waiver wire chatter; it's a dedicated resource for managing a roster for the long haul. You'll hear detailed analysis on navigating the off-season, from evaluating rookie draft classes and free-agent signings to structuring complex trades that benefit your team for seasons to come. The discussion extends to in-season strategy, breaking down weekly lineup decisions with a dynasty lens, identifying which players are true buy-low candidates or sell-high opportunities, and constantly assessing team construction. It’s built for the manager who thinks in terms of windows and rebuilds, not just single matchups. Whether you're drafting your first startup or looking for an edge in a decade-old league, the aim is to provide the nuanced, forward-thinking advice that helps you build a sustainable winner and ultimately hoist that championship trophy. Tune in to this podcast for a comprehensive, year-round approach to the most engaging format in fantasy sports.
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