Why Ukraine May Try to Retake Crimea Next

Why Ukraine May Try to Retake Crimea Next

Author: Silverado Policy Accelerator January 13, 2023 Duration: 1:01:58
Since the start of the Russian invasion last February, it has been a commonly accepted wisdom that Ukraine will not try to retake Crimea - an action that many in the West worry will trigger an escalation - until it has taken back all of the territory lost since February 2022. In this episode, Dmitri Alperovitch once again talks to Sergii Grabskyi, a Reserve Colonel in the Ukrainian military, who challenges that notion. Sergii makes a compelling case that Ukraine is likely to try to retake Crimea as part of an upcoming new offensive. Other topics covered in an in-depth conversation about the state of the war:- Why Ukraine is fighting so hard for Bakhmut despite taking devastating losses there- Why Kreminna and Svatove are even more important than Bakhmut- The vital importance of the barely noticed fight at Vulhledar in the South- Is it possible for Ukrainian forces to cross the Dnipro river- Why the latest supplies of western Infantry Fighting Vehicles and tanks may not help as much as many think- How Ukraine is maintaining the Noah's Ark of western weapons donations- Why Ukraine has not attempted to destroy the North Crimean Canal and the real situation with the water supplies to Crimea- Why there is only one real general in the Russian military- Where is Ukraine expecting a new Russian offensive - Why the stories of Russian forces being unmotivated to fight is largely a myth- Why Kharkiv remains a key priority for Russia- Why Ukraine is not worried about a new offensive from Belarus- and much more Music: "There beyond the fogs" Ukrainian take on a popular patriotic song from a Russian rock band Lyube, rewritten with lyrics about the explosions in Crimea (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9DSAnQrTELQ)

Hosted by Dmitri Alperovitch and presented by the Silverado Policy Accelerator, Geopolitics Decanted offers a deep and nuanced examination of the forces shaping our world. This isn't about quick headlines; it's a podcast dedicated to patient, detailed analysis and substantive conversations with leading experts. Each episode distills complex international issues, moving beyond superficial narratives to explore the underlying strategies, technologies, and economic instruments at play. You'll hear focused discussions on ongoing conflicts like the war in Ukraine, the multifaceted competition between major powers, and the evolving tools of statecraft, from economic sanctions and export controls to cybersecurity threats and the global race for semiconductor supremacy. Geopolitics Decanted is for those who feel that understanding global affairs requires more than sound bites-it demands context, historical perspective, and a willingness to engage with the granular details that truly define geopolitical shifts. Through these in-depth interviews and Alperovitch's own commentary, the podcast provides listeners with a clearer, more comprehensive framework for making sense of an increasingly interconnected and contested global landscape.
Author: Language: English Episodes: 79

Geopolitics Decanted with Dmitri Alperovitch
Podcast Episodes
Battle of Wills: Ukraine’s Path to Victory [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 40:36
Dmitri Alperovitch talks with Yaroslav Trofimov, a Ukrainian-born Wall Street Journal’s chief foreign-affairs correspondent, about his new book "Our Enemies Will Vanish: The Russian Invasion and Ukraine’s War of Independ…
The Drone Wars: How Consumer Tech Is Shaping the Ukraine War [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 1:07:29
Dmitri Alperovitch talks with Michael Kofman (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace), Rob Lee (Foreign Policy Research Institute) and Andrey Liscovich (UkraineDefenseFund.org) how the proliferation of FPV drones and…
All Things AI: An Interview With White House AI Guru Ben Buchanan [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 46:22
Dmitri Alperovitch comes to the White House to interview Dr. Ben Buchanan, the White House Special Advisor on AI, about: - The risks and benefits of AI - What the US government is trying to achieve with the President’s E…
Why Chinese Economy Is Heading For Stagnation, Not Collapse [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 51:34
Dmitri Alperovitch and guest co-host Patrick Gray interview Alicia García-Herrero, a Spanish-born economist based in the indo-Pacific and who specializes on China. They discussed why China has exhausted its growth potent…
How Ukraine Can Benefit From ATACMS Missiles [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 36:54
ATACMS episode: - What variants of the missile exist - What unique advantages they offer over already provided Storm Shadows / SCALP-EGs from UK and France - How many missiles may exist in the US inventory and why some c…
Starlink in Ukraine: Why the Story Is Not So Simple [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 39:04
Dmitri Alperovitch talks with Patrick Gray, host of Risky Business podcast, about why the Starlink-Elon saga is much more complicated than it might seem at first glance. Blaming Elon for his Crimea action is probably unf…
What the Death of Prigozhin Means for Wagner, Russia and Ukraine [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 1:04:52
Dmitri Alperovitch talks to Russian military analyst Rob Lee and Wagner Group expert Jack Margolin about the implications of reports of Prigozhin’s fiery death in a plane crash in Russia. Where does Wagner go from here?…