Why Ukraine May Try to Retake Crimea Next

Why Ukraine May Try to Retake Crimea Next

Author: Silverado Policy Accelerator January 13, 2023 Duration: 1:01:58
Since the start of the Russian invasion last February, it has been a commonly accepted wisdom that Ukraine will not try to retake Crimea - an action that many in the West worry will trigger an escalation - until it has taken back all of the territory lost since February 2022. In this episode, Dmitri Alperovitch once again talks to Sergii Grabskyi, a Reserve Colonel in the Ukrainian military, who challenges that notion. Sergii makes a compelling case that Ukraine is likely to try to retake Crimea as part of an upcoming new offensive. Other topics covered in an in-depth conversation about the state of the war:- Why Ukraine is fighting so hard for Bakhmut despite taking devastating losses there- Why Kreminna and Svatove are even more important than Bakhmut- The vital importance of the barely noticed fight at Vulhledar in the South- Is it possible for Ukrainian forces to cross the Dnipro river- Why the latest supplies of western Infantry Fighting Vehicles and tanks may not help as much as many think- How Ukraine is maintaining the Noah's Ark of western weapons donations- Why Ukraine has not attempted to destroy the North Crimean Canal and the real situation with the water supplies to Crimea- Why there is only one real general in the Russian military- Where is Ukraine expecting a new Russian offensive - Why the stories of Russian forces being unmotivated to fight is largely a myth- Why Kharkiv remains a key priority for Russia- Why Ukraine is not worried about a new offensive from Belarus- and much more Music: "There beyond the fogs" Ukrainian take on a popular patriotic song from a Russian rock band Lyube, rewritten with lyrics about the explosions in Crimea (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9DSAnQrTELQ)

Hosted by Dmitri Alperovitch and presented by the Silverado Policy Accelerator, Geopolitics Decanted offers a deep and nuanced examination of the forces shaping our world. This isn't about quick headlines; it's a podcast dedicated to patient, detailed analysis and substantive conversations with leading experts. Each episode distills complex international issues, moving beyond superficial narratives to explore the underlying strategies, technologies, and economic instruments at play. You'll hear focused discussions on ongoing conflicts like the war in Ukraine, the multifaceted competition between major powers, and the evolving tools of statecraft, from economic sanctions and export controls to cybersecurity threats and the global race for semiconductor supremacy. Geopolitics Decanted is for those who feel that understanding global affairs requires more than sound bites-it demands context, historical perspective, and a willingness to engage with the granular details that truly define geopolitical shifts. Through these in-depth interviews and Alperovitch's own commentary, the podcast provides listeners with a clearer, more comprehensive framework for making sense of an increasingly interconnected and contested global landscape.
Author: Language: English Episodes: 79

Geopolitics Decanted with Dmitri Alperovitch
Podcast Episodes
Ukrainian Military: Analysis of the war in Ukraine (May 1,  2022) [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 1:02:21
May 1, 2022: Dmitri Alperovitch talks with Michael Kofman (Research Program Director in the Russia Studies Program at the Center for Naval Analysis) and Nolan Peterson (Ukraine-based Senior Editor of Coffee or Die Magazi…
Fight for Donbas: Analysis of the war in Ukraine (April 24, 2022) [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 1:01:41
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Endgame in Sight: Analysis of the the war in Ukraine (March 27, 2022) [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 57:19
March 27, 2022: Dmitri Alperovitch talks about the new developments in the war in Ukraine on Twitter Spaces. Discussion of potential cyber attacks on US and allies with Chris Krebs (former director of CISA, co-founder of…
Stalemate: Analysis of the the war in Ukraine (March 20, 2022) [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 52:44
March 20, 2022: Dmitri Alperovitch talks about the new developments the war in Ukraine on Twitter Spaces. Update on the campaign, challenges the Russians are facing, prospect for a coup in Russia and much more with Micha…
Military analysis of the the war in Ukraine: March 6, 2022 [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 1:38:56
March 6, 2022: Dmitri Alperovitch discusses the war in Ukraine on Twitter Spaces: the state of the campaign, Russian plans and failures, Ukrainian defenses and much more with Michael Kofman (Research Program Director in…