Trudeau, The Liberal Party, Tariffs and Trump – What the Future Holds for Canada-US Relations?

Trudeau, The Liberal Party, Tariffs and Trump – What the Future Holds for Canada-US Relations?

Author: TD Securities January 22, 2025 Duration: 45:14
Episode 61 is a deep dive into Canadian politics. Frank starts by handicapping the Liberal leadership race to elect Canada's next Prime Minister, a leader whose first order of business will be filling the leadership vacuum in Ottawa as Canada fights back against tariff threats from President Trump. He reminds Canada's provincial leaders of the importance of putting aside regional differences in favor of a Team Canada approach. Frank takes listeners back to Economics 101 where he discusses the theory of comparative advantage, while suggesting that businesses on both sides of the border are holding back investment while the period of tariff uncertainty continues. He addresses the trolling by President Trump of Canada and makes a passionate plea to Americans to understand that while we are friends, we want to remain Canadian. The conversation then moves to global affairs where we discuss the Israel-Hamas peace agreement, the likely end of the Ukraine War and other potential hot spots for geopolitics, including one that is surprisingly close to home. This podcast was recorded on January 20, 2025. Chapter Headings 00:50 - The Race to be Canada's Prime Minister 06:24 - Trump Tariff Decision on Hold 10:20 - Leadership Vacuum in Ottawa 11:50 - Economics 101 – Tariffs and Comparative Advantage 14:45 - Canada's Response to the Wildfires in LA 18:12 - Governor Trudeau and Manifest Destiny 23:06 - Justin Trudeau's Legacy and Biggest Regret 26:50 - Identity Politics 30:40 - Predicting the Election Outcome 32:35 - Does the Israel-Hamas Peace Agreement Have Legs? 36:30 - The Trump Oligarchy 37:40 - Zelensky's Dealmaking with Trump 39:42 - Other Potential Geopolitical Hot Spots in 2025

Each month, Peter Haynes sits down with Frank McKenna for a conversation that cuts through the noise of global headlines. The Geopolitics with Frank McKenna podcast provides a rare perspective, shaped by McKenna’s unique blend of experience as a former Canadian Premier and Ambassador to the U.S., now serving as Deputy Chair at TD Securities. This isn't a theoretical discussion; it's a practical analysis of how international tensions, trade disputes, and shifting alliances directly impact markets and business strategies. You’ll hear nuanced takes on the stories dominating the news, grounded in a deep understanding of both political corridors and boardrooms. Haynes guides these monthly dialogues to unpack complex issues with clarity, making the forces shaping our world accessible and relevant. For anyone looking to comprehend the real-world implications of global power dynamics, this series offers essential listening. The insights throughout this podcast come from a place of firsthand experience, offering listeners a valuable lens on the interconnected nature of policy and finance. Tune in for thoughtful, forward-looking conversations that go beyond the soundbite.
Author: Language: English Episodes: 53

Geopolitics with Frank McKenna
Podcast Episodes
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Frank's focus during the June episode of Geopolitics was on analyzing the fluid situation in the Middle East following Israel's 12-day war with Iran and the US's decision to bomb Iran's nuclear facilities. Stepping back…
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Duration: 53:17
In Episode 63, the focus of discussions in on two main topics: new Prime Minister Mark Carney's early days at the helm of Canada, and tariffs. Frank discusses Carney's decision to travel to Europe before the US, a move t…
The Future of Canada-US Relations [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 1:03:30
In Episode 62, Frank is joined by Chris Krueger of TD Cowen's Washington Research Group to discuss the first 30 days of the Trump Administration, and the on-going trade war with Canada. Chris outlines his biggest surpris…
Canada's Acute Case of Tariffitis [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 36:30
Episode 60 is dominated by recent events in Ottawa, a period Frank describes as the most chaotic in his lifetime. Frank first dissects the decision by Chrystia Freeland to resign from her post as Minister of Finance prio…
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Duration: 41:22
Frank is back from a vacation in the Far East, and he is fired up to talk about the US Election and its implications for global geopolitics. We cover Trump's controversial cabinet picks. Frank is supportive of Marco Rubi…
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Duration: 42:29
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Duration: 45:37
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Duration: 43:52
Episode 56 is a mostly Made in Canada geopolitical discussion. Frank covers the NDP decision to end its supply and confidence agreement with Prime Minister Trudeau and his Liberal Party, leading to speculation of a snap…