Can Democrats Really Pull a Reagan? How the GOP's 1980 Playbook Could Work for Progressives in 2028
Can Democrats pull a Ronald Reagan? That's the provocative question at the heart of Peter Wehner and Jonathan Rauch's New York Times intriguing piece about how the Democrats can win back the presidency in 2028. Just as the neo-liberal Reagan crushed the cardigan-wearing Carter by promising economic vitality over malaise, Democrats now have a chance to flip the script—if only they can drop their annoying cultural politics and reclaim the mantle of middle-class prosperity. By owning the American Dream, Rauch and Wehner suggest, you also own American politics. Given the Republican abandonment of growth politics, they argue, the seeds of a Democratic revival have already been sown. Now all the party needs is somebody with Reagan’s messaging genius. Mark Cuban, perhaps?
1. Democrats Are Abandoning Anti-Trump Strategy for Positive Messaging
The 19 Democrats interviewed for the article were explicitly asked not to mention Trump—a "disciplining exercise" that revealed the party's recognition that pure opposition isn't enough. They need an affirmative agenda focused on prosperity and the American dream rather than just being the anti-Trump party.
2. Republicans Have Abandoned Growth Politics, Creating an Opening
Trump's GOP now runs on "scarcity" and "beggar-thy-neighbor" policies—tariffs that raise prices, fewer immigrants despite labor shortages, telling Americans to "make do with less." This abandons Reagan's successful abundance message and gives Democrats a chance to become the "party of prosperity."
3. Cultural Issues Are Democrats' Biggest Barrier to Economic Credibility
Every Democrat interviewed acknowledged they must move to the center on cultural issues before voters will listen to their economic message. As Rahm Emanuel put it: "If you don't get through that cultural barrier, people aren't going to listen to you on kitchen table issues." Early signs include Gavin Newsom's shifts on transgender policies and Wes Moore rejecting reparations.
4. The "Abundance Agenda" Could Unite Progressive and Centrist Wings
Democrats see potential common ground: progressives can focus on breaking up monopolies and corporate price manipulation, while centrists tackle zoning reform and regulatory barriers. Both approaches aim to reduce artificial scarcity and boost middle-class prosperity.
5. 2028 May Require an Outsider, Not a Traditional Politician
With Trump at 37% approval and voters seeking authenticity, energy, and change, Democrats may need someone like Mark Cuban rather than a typical governor or senator. The party is looking for someone who can challenge the status quo without sounding like a conventional politician—much like Reagan did in 1980.
Keen On America is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit keenon.substack.com/subscribe
How to Innovate: Sheena Iyengar on how, in our Age of Big Problems, we must learn to Think Bigger
On Mental Illness and the Mist of Consciousness: William Brewer explains how Psychedelic Therapy Saved His Life
On Roads Not Taken: Novelist Juliette Fay explains why regret is such fertile territory for fiction writers
Disrupting the Traditional Art World: Evrim Oralkan on how Collecteurs.com is transforming privately owned creative work into "public" digital art
A Tragic Grand Delusion: Steven Simon on the Rise and Fall of American Ambition in the Middle East
That Was the Week in Tech: Inspired by his wife, Gene, Keith Teare asks whether the market has hit the bottom
Nine Black Robes: Joan Biskupic on the historic significance of the Supreme Court's drive to the right
An Impossible Choice: Anjan Sundaram on the devastating personal costs of being a war correspondent in Africa
The Painful Joy of Remembering the Lives of Two Holocaust Survivors: Max J. Friedman on why he chose to write a memoir about his Holocaust surviving parents
Why We Should Blame Leaders, not Citizens, for Today's Crisis of Democracy: Larry Bartels on how democracy is eroding from the top
The Start-Up That Defines the entrepreneurial spirit of Silicon Valley: Jimmy Soni on the story of PayPal and its remarkable alumni who have shaped the 21st century
The Teen Mental Health Crisis: Hannah Murphy asks whether teens are paying with their sanity for their "free" social media
Complicate the Narrative: Rajiv Vinnokota on how to transform Americans into better citizens