Can Democrats Really Pull a Reagan? How the GOP's 1980 Playbook Could Work for Progressives in 2028
Can Democrats pull a Ronald Reagan? That's the provocative question at the heart of Peter Wehner and Jonathan Rauch's New York Times intriguing piece about how the Democrats can win back the presidency in 2028. Just as the neo-liberal Reagan crushed the cardigan-wearing Carter by promising economic vitality over malaise, Democrats now have a chance to flip the script—if only they can drop their annoying cultural politics and reclaim the mantle of middle-class prosperity. By owning the American Dream, Rauch and Wehner suggest, you also own American politics. Given the Republican abandonment of growth politics, they argue, the seeds of a Democratic revival have already been sown. Now all the party needs is somebody with Reagan’s messaging genius. Mark Cuban, perhaps?
1. Democrats Are Abandoning Anti-Trump Strategy for Positive Messaging
The 19 Democrats interviewed for the article were explicitly asked not to mention Trump—a "disciplining exercise" that revealed the party's recognition that pure opposition isn't enough. They need an affirmative agenda focused on prosperity and the American dream rather than just being the anti-Trump party.
2. Republicans Have Abandoned Growth Politics, Creating an Opening
Trump's GOP now runs on "scarcity" and "beggar-thy-neighbor" policies—tariffs that raise prices, fewer immigrants despite labor shortages, telling Americans to "make do with less." This abandons Reagan's successful abundance message and gives Democrats a chance to become the "party of prosperity."
3. Cultural Issues Are Democrats' Biggest Barrier to Economic Credibility
Every Democrat interviewed acknowledged they must move to the center on cultural issues before voters will listen to their economic message. As Rahm Emanuel put it: "If you don't get through that cultural barrier, people aren't going to listen to you on kitchen table issues." Early signs include Gavin Newsom's shifts on transgender policies and Wes Moore rejecting reparations.
4. The "Abundance Agenda" Could Unite Progressive and Centrist Wings
Democrats see potential common ground: progressives can focus on breaking up monopolies and corporate price manipulation, while centrists tackle zoning reform and regulatory barriers. Both approaches aim to reduce artificial scarcity and boost middle-class prosperity.
5. 2028 May Require an Outsider, Not a Traditional Politician
With Trump at 37% approval and voters seeking authenticity, energy, and change, Democrats may need someone like Mark Cuban rather than a typical governor or senator. The party is looking for someone who can challenge the status quo without sounding like a conventional politician—much like Reagan did in 1980.
Keen On America is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit keenon.substack.com/subscribe
The New Deal's Unlikely Heroes: Derek Leebaert on FDR's Four Key Lieutenants and the World They Made
Workers of the World Unite, You Have Nothing to Lose But Your Blood: Kathleen McLaughlin on the Plasma Industry Sucking the Blood of the American Poor
The Indiana Jones of the Deep: Mensun Bound on the discovery of Shackleton's Endurance in the most hostile sea on earth
Why Has Children's Literature Become So Politicized? Kelly Yang on Roald Dahl, Ron DeSantis and the new culture wars over kids' books
That Was The Week in tech: Keith Teare on Section 230, an AI bubble, the new China-Saudi axis, and Sam Bankman-Fried's growing legal woes
Crisis, What Crisis? Paul Stephan on the world crisis triggered by our knowledge economy
The Big Myth: Erik Conway explains how American business taught us to loathe government and love the free market
Should We Be Outraged By the New York Police Department? Michael Hayes on Bill de Blasio, the NYPD & the Broken Promises of Police Reform
America as Injustice, Inc: Daniel Hatcher on how the US criminal justice system commodifies children and the poor
Our Meganets Nightmare: David Auerbach on How Digital Forces Beyond Our Control Commandeer Our Daily Lives and Inner Realities
We All Live in Palo Alto Now: Malcolm Harris' History of California, America and the World
Fictionalizing History: Jonathan Wilson on whether Palestine was a Jewish "state in waiting" during the 1930s
Should Law about Press Freedom be Rewritten for our Internet Age? Samantha Barbas on how the Supreme Court might be preparing to overhaul New York Times vs Sullivan