Enstatification Over Enshittification: America as the New China
My neologism-du-jour is “enstatification”. It’s what is happening in MAGA America with Trump’s Gaucho-style swaggering into the economy and his reversal to autarky and a back-to-the-future Monroe Doctrine. With the growth of a 19th-century style state power, America is trying to become the new China. Meanwhile, as Keith Teare notes in his latest That Was The Week newsletter, China is the new America in its embrace of technological innovation, particularly its trebling down on clean energy. That’s why the “Too Big To Fail” debate about OpenAI is so heavily laced in irony. It’s not just Sam Altman’s chutzpah in trying to simultaneously become the punter and the house in his multi-trillion-dollar bet on ChatGPT. But it might actually reflect the new realities of second-quarter 21st-century America. We’ve been wondering for a while now what comes after neo-liberalism. In a neologism: enstatification.
* China Has Already Won the Clean Energy Race—And That Changes Everything Keith Teare confirms what The Economist reported: China’s clean energy capacity dwarfs America’s by a decade or more. This isn’t just about being green—it’s about controlling the energy infrastructure that AI requires. China is becoming the 21st century’s combination of America and Saudi Arabia.
* Jensen Huang’s Verdict: China Will Win the AI Race Because It Deregulates While America Bureaucratizes The NVIDIA CEO’s provocative claim isn’t just marketing—it reflects a real competitive advantage. While four Democratic states pursue AI regulation at the state level, Beijing is loosening regulations and slashing energy costs for data centers. Democracy’s decentralization may be its Achilles heel in rapid technological competition.
* OpenAI’s “Too Big to Fail” Status Reveals the New Age of Enstatification Despite David Sacks’ denials, OpenAI’s strategic importance means it effectively cannot be allowed to fail—not because of systemic financial risk like 2008, but because of national competitiveness concerns. This isn’t neoliberalism anymore; it’s America’s version of state capitalism.
* The Real Convergence Isn’t US vs China—It’s Both Nations Embracing State-Directed Economies Trump’s Intel investment, Sacks and Andreessen’s push for centralized AI policy, and China’s directed innovation represent a global trend toward what Keith calls state involvement in “procuring and distributing wealth.” Alibaba and Google, Huawei and NVIDIA—they’re becoming more alike than different.
* Keith Teare’s Optimism: “Everyone Will Win” in the AI Economy—But Some Pigs Are More Equal: Keith argues this isn’t a zero-sum race with winners and losers, but a rising tide lifting all boats through reciprocity. America and China will both capture massive value from AI’s potential $26 trillion GDP boost by 2035. I remain skeptical: history suggests great power competitions don’t end in shared prosperity.
Keen On America is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit keenon.substack.com/subscribe
Charlie Robertson on Curing Global Poverty: More Education, More Electricity
Nandita Dinesh: How Brechtian Theater Can Help Americans Talk to One Another Again
Note to Elon Musk: Stop Wasting Your Billions on Twitter and Invest Them in Curing Cancer
Ian Morris: Why Geography Explains Everything From Brexit to Cuba to the Russian Invasion of Ukraine
Jefferson Morley: Why Watergate Is Intimately Bound Up With the CIA's Role in the JFK Assassination
Samit Basu: Why India, and Not China or the US, Represents the Most Chilling Vision of Our High-Tech Dystopian Future
Abi Morgan: How to Write a Memoir About Personal Catastrophe Without Sounding Pitiful
Victoria Finlay on Fabric: The Hidden History of the Material World
John Allore: How a Brother's Determination to Find His Sister's Killer Lead Him to a Canadian Serial Killer
Ada Ferrer: How the 300-Year-Old Cuba-America Relationship Could Have Been Written By a Latin American Novelist
Bo Seo: How Good Debate Can Save Democracy
Julie Lythcott-Hains: How to Successfully Grow Up and Become an Adult
Peter Wehner: Why a Post-Trump America Remains Very Sick and How to Improve Its Health