Enstatification Over Enshittification: America as the New China
My neologism-du-jour is “enstatification”. It’s what is happening in MAGA America with Trump’s Gaucho-style swaggering into the economy and his reversal to autarky and a back-to-the-future Monroe Doctrine. With the growth of a 19th-century style state power, America is trying to become the new China. Meanwhile, as Keith Teare notes in his latest That Was The Week newsletter, China is the new America in its embrace of technological innovation, particularly its trebling down on clean energy. That’s why the “Too Big To Fail” debate about OpenAI is so heavily laced in irony. It’s not just Sam Altman’s chutzpah in trying to simultaneously become the punter and the house in his multi-trillion-dollar bet on ChatGPT. But it might actually reflect the new realities of second-quarter 21st-century America. We’ve been wondering for a while now what comes after neo-liberalism. In a neologism: enstatification.
* China Has Already Won the Clean Energy Race—And That Changes Everything Keith Teare confirms what The Economist reported: China’s clean energy capacity dwarfs America’s by a decade or more. This isn’t just about being green—it’s about controlling the energy infrastructure that AI requires. China is becoming the 21st century’s combination of America and Saudi Arabia.
* Jensen Huang’s Verdict: China Will Win the AI Race Because It Deregulates While America Bureaucratizes The NVIDIA CEO’s provocative claim isn’t just marketing—it reflects a real competitive advantage. While four Democratic states pursue AI regulation at the state level, Beijing is loosening regulations and slashing energy costs for data centers. Democracy’s decentralization may be its Achilles heel in rapid technological competition.
* OpenAI’s “Too Big to Fail” Status Reveals the New Age of Enstatification Despite David Sacks’ denials, OpenAI’s strategic importance means it effectively cannot be allowed to fail—not because of systemic financial risk like 2008, but because of national competitiveness concerns. This isn’t neoliberalism anymore; it’s America’s version of state capitalism.
* The Real Convergence Isn’t US vs China—It’s Both Nations Embracing State-Directed Economies Trump’s Intel investment, Sacks and Andreessen’s push for centralized AI policy, and China’s directed innovation represent a global trend toward what Keith calls state involvement in “procuring and distributing wealth.” Alibaba and Google, Huawei and NVIDIA—they’re becoming more alike than different.
* Keith Teare’s Optimism: “Everyone Will Win” in the AI Economy—But Some Pigs Are More Equal: Keith argues this isn’t a zero-sum race with winners and losers, but a rising tide lifting all boats through reciprocity. America and China will both capture massive value from AI’s potential $26 trillion GDP boost by 2035. I remain skeptical: history suggests great power competitions don’t end in shared prosperity.
Keen On America is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit keenon.substack.com/subscribe
Episode 2207: Martin Schmidt, President of Rensselaer Institute of Technology, on how Quantum Computing is about the change the world
Episode 2206: Josh McConkey on How to Be the American Weight Behind the Spear
Episode 2205: Edward Goldberg explains how the US Came to Lead (and Lose) the World
Episode 2204: Sharon McMahon on Twelve Unsung Americans Who Changed the Course of History
Episode 2203 with Saad Mohseni: The best-informed person in the world about Afghanistan
Episode 2202: Ray Suarez on what it means to be an American in the 2020's
Episode 2201: Brigid Schulte on turning the daily grind of work into a more meaningful life
Episode 2200: Ryan Hampton on the reckless capitalism causing America's drug addiction crisis
Episode 2199: Anindya Ghose on Maximizing our Well-Being in the Age of AI
Episode 2198: Megan Hellerer exposes the "achievement lie" of how we think about our careers and lives
Episode 2197: Keith and Andrew on why, in our AI Age, Specialists will be the New Proletariat
Episode 2196: Michael Scott-Baumann on the unfolding catastrophe in Israel and Palestine
Episode 2195: Toby Walsh on why AI is finally ready to change everything