Everything Is Possible, Nothing Is Inevitable: Why AI Might Be the Ultimate Scarcity Trap


Author: Andrew Keen June 7, 2025 Duration: 43:04
Podcast episode
Everything Is Possible, Nothing Is Inevitable: Why AI Might Be the Ultimate Scarcity Trap

Is the promise of AI abundance Silicon Valley’s biggest lie? That Was The Week publisher Keith Teare argues that while AI will inevitably reduce human labor and increase productivity, the real question isn't economic—it's about distribution. Who, exactly, benefits from all this abundance? Currently, it’s private companies like OpenAI and Google that own the technology; not you and I, the public. This creates what Keith describes as a fork in the road: either a techno-feudal nightmare where few own everything, or a techno-socialist cornucopia where everyone prospers. He points to points to experiments like Sam Altman's Worldcoin as potential solutions, but warns that without deliberate human action, abundance could easily become the ultimate scarcity trap.

As you can tell from this conversation, I'm much more skeptical than Keith. While he sees inevitable productivity gains leading to a potential utopia, I see Silicon Valley's promises of abudance as largely self-serving fantasy. There is no fork in the road and, with or without human agency, everything certainly isn’t possible. Today’s technological reality is growing inequality, not infinite distribution. The fact that Keith's most hopeful model is Sam Altman's chilling crypto scheme for paying people to scan and share their irises is particularly unconvincing. History shows us that new technologies, while promising a cornucopian future, always create new forms of scarcity. The people promoting AI abundance—Zuckerberg, Musk, Altman et al—are painfully antisocial, yet preach about more social time for family and friends. Meanwhile, teachers and journalists and lawyers are already being forced into retirement. Without concrete mechanisms for the redistribution of AI derived wealth, abundance will likely benefit the few who own the technology, not the many who actually need it.

five key takeaways

1. The Economics vs. Distribution Problem AI will inevitably make production cheaper and more efficient, but there's no built-in mechanism ensuring everyone benefits. The proceeds will flow to private companies unless something changes.

2. The Fork in the Road We face two possible futures: a feudal system where a few own everything, or a utopia where abundance benefits everyone. The outcome depends entirely on human choices, not technological inevitability.

3. The End of Required Labor While productivity gains are inevitable, the complete elimination of paid work isn't guaranteed. But as AI becomes cheaper than human labor, employers will have no economic incentive to hire people.

4. Democrats Need the Abundance Narrative The Democratic Party can't win by just redistributing a shrinking pie. They need policies that grow the economy and make abundance politically viable—free healthcare and education require rapid wealth expansion.

5. Experiments Are Already Happening Projects like Sam Altman's Worldcoin (giving everyone AI profits via crypto) and discussions of Universal Income show that practical wealth distribution mechanisms are being tested, not just theorized.

Keen On America is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.



This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit keenon.substack.com/subscribe

More episodes

Duration: 32:37
EPISODE 1621: In this KEEN ON show, Andrew talks to Lena Andrews, author of VALIANT WOMEN, about the extraordinary American servicewomen who helped win World War IILENA ANDREWS is a military analyst for the Central Intel…

Duration: 36:54
EPISODE 1619: In this KEEN ON show, Andrew talks to Ben Purkert, author of THE MEN CAN'T BE SAVED, about the fate of masculinity at a time when our jobs are destroying our soulsBen Purkert’s debut novel, The Men Can’t Be…

Duration: 52:48
EPISODE 1618: In this KEEN ON show, Andrew talks to Jeff Jarvis, the author of THE GUTTENBERG PARENTHESIS about the lessons of the age of print for our internet ageJeff Jarvis is a national leader in the development of o…

Duration: 37:58
EPISODE 1616: In this KEEN ON show, Andrew talks to Joe Allen, author of DARK AEON, about Transhumanism and the war against humanityJoe Allen has written for Chronicles, The Federalist, Human Events, The National Pulse,…

Duration: 30:39
Episode 1615: In this KEEN ON show, Andrew talks to Julian Barnes, author of ELIZABETH FINCH, about the polytheism of antiquity and how to become somebody who can pass on wisdomJulian Barnes was born in Leicester, Englan…

Duration: 37:16
EPISODE 1614: In this regular weekly show with THAT WAS THE WEEK newsletter author Keith Teare, Keith speculates on what will happen when AI acquires a memory about us Keith Teare is a Founder and CEO at SignalRank Corpo…

Duration: 29:37
Episode 1611: In this KEEN ON show, Andrew talks to Thom Hartmann, America's #1 progressive talk show host and author of THE HIDDEN HISTORY OF AMERICAN DEMOCRACY, about how Americans can rediscover humanity's ancient way…

Duration: 30:39
In this KEEN ON show, Andrew talks to Greg Mitchell, author of THE BEGINNING OR THE END, about how Hollywood learned to stop worrying and love the bombGreg Mitchell’s books include The Beginning or the End: How Hollywood…

Duration: 33:59
Episode 1609: In this KEEN ON show, Andrew talks to Sean A. Mirski, author of WE MAY DOMINATE THE WORLD, about ambition, anxiety and the rise of America as both a regional hegemon and global colossusSean A. Mirski is a l…

Duration: 40:00
Episode 1608: In this KEEN ON show, Andrew talks to Neil Howe, author of THE FOURTH TURNING IS HERE, how the seasons of history can help us overcome our current economic, political, cultural and generational crisisNeil H…

Logo
Select station
VOL