That Frog in the Boiling Water is Us: Why Progress Won't Save Us From Climate Catastrophe
In what climate pessimists define as our environmentally apocalyptic times, we’ve become the metaphorical frog in the boiling water. That, at least, is the bleak conclusion of Roy Scranton, the author of Impasse, a new book about climate change and the end of technological progress. For the deeply pessimistic Scranton, the planet is screwed. So the real question is how we can live ethically in these environmentally apocalyptic times. Drawing on his experience as a soldier in Iraq, where he learned to accept death as an everyday spiritual practice, Scranton argues we must abandon fantasies of technological salvation, focusing instead on local community work and the humility of practical good works. This way to the stove, ladies and gentlemen. Our future will be boiling.
1. We're the "Frog in Boiling Water" - Humans adapt so quickly to gradual environmental changes (like rising temperatures) that we normalize catastrophic shifts, making it nearly impossible to recognize existential threats until it's too late.
2. Progress is a Dangerous Myth - Our faith that more technology and science will solve climate change is misguided. Energy transitions historically add new sources rather than replace old ones - we used more coal last year than ever before, despite renewable growth.
3. Embrace "Ethical Pessimism" - Instead of clinging to hope for global solutions, we should accept that civilization as we know it may not survive and focus on how to live ethically within that reality.
4. Think Local, Abandon Global - Rather than trying to "save the world," focus on your immediate community and relationships. Do practical good works where you can actually make a difference in people's daily lives.
5. Learn to "Die" Spiritually - Drawing from his military experience in Iraq, Scranton advocates accepting mortality (personal and civilizational) as a daily practice to free yourself for meaningful action in the present moment, without attachment to future outcomes.
The core message: Stop fantasizing about technological salvation and start practicing humble, local ethics in the face of inevitably catastrophic change.
Keen On America is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit keenon.substack.com/subscribe
Nick Seabrook: How Gerrymandering Is Killing American Democracy
Lolá Ákínmádé Åkerström: No, Sweden Isn't Perfect: On Racism, Xenophobia, and Not Even Feeding Your Own Guests
Jennifer Senior: How America's Rasputin, Steve Bannon, Is Simultaneously Clubbable and a Mortal Threat to the Republic
Ethan Lou: Is Today's Crypto Crash Terminal or Just Another Chapter in Its Inevitable Takeover of Our Financial System?
Christopher Leonard: How Today's Inflationary Crisis is Likely to Further Inflame Our Democratic Crisis
Simon Kuper: What Political Lessons Can We Learn From a Well-Run Football Club Like FC Barcelona?
Oliver Bullough: How Britain Became the Jeeves of Tycoons, Tax Dodgers, Kleptocrats, and Criminals
James Kirchick on the Hidden History of Gay Washington
Nabil Ayers: Why Writing an Autobiography Is More Like Recording an Album Than Making a Single
Rebekah Caruthers: How We Can Use the January 6th Insurrection to Create a More Perfect American Democracy
Gene Andrew Jarrett on Paul Laurence Dunbar, the Caged Bird That Sang
Nicole Eustace: What the Murder of an Indigenous American in 1722 Tells Us About the Dark Origins of the United States
Chloe Maxmin: Why the Democrats Need to Start Listening to Rural America