That Frog in the Boiling Water is Us: Why Progress Won't Save Us From Climate Catastrophe
In what climate pessimists define as our environmentally apocalyptic times, we’ve become the metaphorical frog in the boiling water. That, at least, is the bleak conclusion of Roy Scranton, the author of Impasse, a new book about climate change and the end of technological progress. For the deeply pessimistic Scranton, the planet is screwed. So the real question is how we can live ethically in these environmentally apocalyptic times. Drawing on his experience as a soldier in Iraq, where he learned to accept death as an everyday spiritual practice, Scranton argues we must abandon fantasies of technological salvation, focusing instead on local community work and the humility of practical good works. This way to the stove, ladies and gentlemen. Our future will be boiling.
1. We're the "Frog in Boiling Water" - Humans adapt so quickly to gradual environmental changes (like rising temperatures) that we normalize catastrophic shifts, making it nearly impossible to recognize existential threats until it's too late.
2. Progress is a Dangerous Myth - Our faith that more technology and science will solve climate change is misguided. Energy transitions historically add new sources rather than replace old ones - we used more coal last year than ever before, despite renewable growth.
3. Embrace "Ethical Pessimism" - Instead of clinging to hope for global solutions, we should accept that civilization as we know it may not survive and focus on how to live ethically within that reality.
4. Think Local, Abandon Global - Rather than trying to "save the world," focus on your immediate community and relationships. Do practical good works where you can actually make a difference in people's daily lives.
5. Learn to "Die" Spiritually - Drawing from his military experience in Iraq, Scranton advocates accepting mortality (personal and civilizational) as a daily practice to free yourself for meaningful action in the present moment, without attachment to future outcomes.
The core message: Stop fantasizing about technological salvation and start practicing humble, local ethics in the face of inevitably catastrophic change.
Keen On America is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit keenon.substack.com/subscribe
Episode 2241: Gary Shapiro on how to become a Pivot Guy
Episode 2240: Parmy Olson on the race for global AI supremacy between OpenAI and Deep Mind
Episode 2239: Good Morning America! AI, Trump and the Silicon Valley Future
Episode 2238: Juliana Tafur on how to put Humpty Dumpty (America) back to together again
Episode 2237: Vanessa Resier on Narcissistic Abuse - the disease that captures the spirit of our toxic times
Episode 2236: Raj M. Shah and Christopher Kirchhoff on How the Pentagon and Silicon Valley Are Transforming the Future of War
Episode 2235: John Driscoll on why Kamala Harris lost
Episode 2234: Lauren Oyler on 2024 as America's first post internet election
Episode 2233: Paul Greenberg predicts a George Washington vs Donald Trump election in 2028
Episode 2242: Should anyone in Silicon Valley really care who wins the election?
Episode 2241: Daniel Susskind exposes the messy truth about the benefits of economic growth
Episode 2240: Jon Moynihan on how to fix the economy and create long term growth
Episode 2239: Has Halloween been rescheduled for November 5?