The Abundance Trap: Who Owns Our Future When Robots Do All the Work?
That Was The Week publisher Keith Teare argues we're “accelerating” toward an age of “abundance” in which AI and automation will slash production costs to near-zero, freeing humans to pursue hobbies instead of jobs. I’m less optimistic. I don’t disagree with Keith’s premise that AI will profoundly change not just our economy but our society and politics. But abundance? Who will own these AI factories? How will profits and wealth be distributed? Keith envisions massive corporate tax rates (up to 98%) redistributing automated profits, while I question whether people actually want a post-work world of ubiquitous stamp collectors or novelists. Our debate captures the gulf between Silicon Valley's utopian promises and the harsh political realities of the 2020s. Will technological abundance liberate humanity or concentrate power among tech giants and impoverish the rest of us?
Five Key Takeaways
* The Economics Are Clear, Politics Are Messy - Keith argues we're economically heading toward abundance through AI/automation reducing costs to near-zero, but admits the political question of wealth distribution remains "contested" and could lead to either democracy or autocracy.
* Work vs. Hobbies Debate - Keith believes most people work jobs they don't love just to afford the things they do love, so abundance would free them to pursue passions. I counter that most people don't have hobbies and actually like having jobs.
* The 98% Solution - Keith's preferred path to shared abundance: massive corporate tax rates on automated production (up to 98%) to redistribute AI-generated wealth, creating something "better than the Swedish system."
* Big Tech Will Lead, Like It or Not - We both agree government won't drive this transformation—it'll be Google, Microsoft, OpenAI and others. The question is whether they'll be regulated/taxed or become "modern-day empires."
* Scarcity in the Age of Abundance - It’s a paradox. While promising intellectual abundance, we're seeing increased physical scarcity (land, immigration restrictions, declining birth rates) driven by political insecurity about the future.
Keen On America is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit keenon.substack.com/subscribe
Can Billionaire Backlash Save Democracy? Pepper Culpepper on our Age of Corporate Scandal
Yes, It's Fascism: Jon Rauch on Trump and the F Word
Californian True Crime: A Killing in Cannabis
Rage in the American Republic
Documenting America: How to See Beyond the Algorithm
Whoosh! That Really Was a Week in Tech: Winner-Take-All AI and the $1 Trillion Selloff
Catching More Than Passes From Bobby: Stephen Schlesinger on what RFK Can Still Teach America
Your Data Will Be Used Against You: Andrew Guthrie Ferguson on Policing in the Age of Self-Surveillance
To Catch a Fascist: The Ethics of Unmasking the Radical Right
How Meat Can Save the Planet: The Vegan Case
It's Always Exploding Somewhere: Why No Weapon Is Ever Perfect
Where's the Countercultural Outrage to Trump?
AI's Adolescent Crisis: And It's Still Just a Toddler