Why Today's AI Boom Is No Dot-Com Bubble
Few people experienced the Dot-Com bubble with more vertiginous intensity than Bill Gross, the Pasadena-based founder of Idealab and many many other internet startups over the last 30 years. So when I sat down with Gross at DLD, I couldn’t resist opening with the boom/bubble gambit. How, I asked him, does today’s AI hysteria compare with the Web 1.0 madness of the Nineties? While Gross - whose current ProRata.ai play is focused on protecting creativity in the age of generative AI - doesn’t believe that today’s boom is akin to the Dot-Com bubble, there are similarities. We are at what Gross calls a “Napster moment” in terms of making the big LLMs accountable for all the content they are illegally crawling (ie: stealing). And to get beyond this moment, he says, everyone from Google and OpenAI to Perplexity and Anthropic, needs to move to a “Spotify model” that fairly shares revenue with the human creators of knowledge.
Keen On America is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit keenon.substack.com/subscribe
Episode 2300: Sandra Matz makes the Case for a Data-Driven Science of Predicting and Changing Human Behavior
Episode 2299: Jill Kastner explains why everything old is new again in international politics
Episode 2298: Adam Chandler on the fatal contradiction at the heart of American capitalism
Episode 2297: Louis Ferrante on why the Mafia Killed JFK
Episode 2296: Adi Jaffe on how to free yourself from addiction forever
Episode 2295: Paula Whyman on how to save the American environment - one wild mountaintop at a time
Episode 2294: Larry Downes' non-MAGA plan to shrink the Federal bureaucracy
Episode 2293: David Masciotra on why Kamala Harris should have gone on the Joe Rogan show
Episode 2292: Chris Schroeder on how America now swims in an ocean of black swans
Episode 2291: Michael Scott-Baumann on the hopelessness of the Palestinian situation
Episode 2290: Marshall Poe on why 2024 was a bad year for most podcasters
Episode 2289: Gary Marcus on how Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is, in the long run, inevitable
Episode 2288: Simon Kuper on the chilling parallels between MAGA America and Apartheid South Africa