Expected Value vs Edge

Expected Value vs Edge

Author: Michael Fiddle March 3, 2026 Duration: 1:01:20
Mike Fiddle (@FiddlesPicks) breaks down the NBA slate on Tuesday, March 3rd. He dives into market movement, sharp betting angles, and best bets — all through the lens of advanced gambling strategies. (0:00) Intro (0:22) Expected Value vs Edge (13:21) DAL Mavericks @ CHA Hornets (15:58) WAS Wizards @ ORL Magic (19:13) DET Pistons @ CLE Cavaliers (23:18) NYK Knicks @ TOR Raptors (33:05) BKN Nets @ MIA Heat (35:05) MEM Grizzlies @ MIN Timberwolves (skipped) (35:52) SA Spurs @ PHI 76ers (38:46) ...

You’re looking for an edge in the sports betting world, and that’s exactly where NBA Betting with Fiddle comes in. Hosted by professional handicapper Michael Fiddle, this podcast digs into the numbers, trends, and matchups that shape the outcomes of NBA games. While the core focus is professional basketball, Michael’s expertise as a seasoned analyst also allows for insightful discussions on football, providing a well-rounded perspective for sports bettors. Each episode feels like a direct conversation with a sharp friend who’s done all the homework, breaking down upcoming slates, key player injuries, and line movements in clear, actionable terms. It’s not about wild guesses; it’s about informed decisions. You’ll hear a methodical approach that respects the complexity of sports betting, all delivered in a straightforward, engaging style. Tune in to this podcast for a reliable source of analysis that cuts through the noise, helping you understand not just what the smart picks are, but the reasoning behind them. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just starting to navigate the odds, Michael Fiddle offers a trusted voice in the crowded sports news landscape.
Author: Language: en-us Episodes: 100

NBA Betting with Fiddle
Podcast Episodes
Every Actionable Spot in Round 2 of the NBA Playoffs [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 37:10
Mike Fiddle (@FiddlesPicks) breaks down the NBA Playoff Round 2 start, diving into the most actionable betting angles for every game 1 and series price. (0:00) Intro (1:38) MIN Timberwolves @ SA Spurs (8:48) PHI 76ers @…
Betting Trends SUCK But Definitely Not Game 7s [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 39:29
We got three Game 7s in the East, while the Western Conference Semis are set! You know what that means? Impromptu LIVE stream! We’re going live with Mike Fiddle (@FiddlesPicks) to break it all down—angles, reactions, and…
Bet These TOTALS for Game 2 of the NBA Playoffs [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 1:01:02
Mike Fiddle (@FiddlesPicks) breaks down the NBA Playoff Game 2s. He reviews market moves on sides and totals, prop bets, and sharp spots using high-level gambling strategies. (0:00) Intro (12:24) ORL Magic @ DET Pistons…
NBA Props for Every Game 1 with Betstamp Pro [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 46:48
Mike Fiddle (@FiddlesPicks) breaks down NBA player props for every Game 1 using Betstamp Pro, going book-by-book to find +EV opportunities. He also dives into key mismatches, market inefficiencies, and takes live prop re…
NBA Playoff and Play-In Longshots with Value [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 1:10:56
Mike Fiddle (@FiddlesPicks) is joined by Drew “Bounty Hunter” Johnson (@RantingJohnson) to break down NBA playoff longshots that are still actionable. They dive into series angles, market inefficiencies, and where sharp…