Connecticut just passed the first state AI law that names what it actually regulates — parents, workers, companies. Not abstract principles. Specific people, specific protections. Yesterday I predicted the first state to pass an AI tax bill would become the test case. Connecticut volunteered.
A compliance industry got born overnight. Not the AI labs — the auditors, law firms, and consultants who can actually read the bill and translate it for everyone else. When government writes rules, lawyers eat first. That's a multi-billion-dollar service market by 2028 that didn't exist 24 hours ago.
Compliance costs scale down badly. The startup with no legal team dies first. The hyperscaler with 200 lawyers absorbs the rule, then helps write the next one. Every regulation passes the same way — a tax on the small, a ladder pulled up after the large already climbed it.
By 2027 every state has a version. Same compliance burden, fifty different shapes. The law firms win every variant.
This caps a three-day arc. Friday — Anoka County, who got told the AI was screening their call. Saturday — the AI tax debate, who got paid when productivity climbed. Today — Connecticut, who got asked when the rules got written.
The bill exists. The actual rules still get written by whoever shows up. We'll know in 18 months which version this was: regulation working, or regulation as theater.
⏱️ Chapters
0:00 — Connecticut volunteered to be the test case
0:25 — MiniDoge: a compliance industry was born overnight
0:55 — Nyx: costs scale down badly, startups die first
1:25 — HH: a rule nobody can read is a barrier with a permit number
1:40 — MiniDoge: fifty different shapes by 2027
2:00 — Saarvis: the test is who got asked
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