Constructing a Software Investing Thesis in the Age of AI with Ben Brostoff, Editor/Writer of the Stock Talk Newsletter

Constructing a Software Investing Thesis in the Age of AI with Ben Brostoff, Editor/Writer of the Stock Talk Newsletter

Author: SNN Network June 11, 2025 Duration: 49:44

My guest on the show today is Ben Brostoff, software engineer at Klaviyo and the writer behind the Stock Talk newsletter on Substack. Ben has a fascinating perspective on investing—he started out in investment banking, taught himself to code, and now spends his free time researching microcap companies, especially in the software and tech space.

In this episode, we dive into Ben’s investing philosophy—why he targets 8–10% returns with the least amount of risk, how AI is changing the way he evaluates software moats, and why he won’t own a company unless he’s written a blog post about it. We also dig into some of the key lessons he’s learned, from the dangers of leverage to the power of doing more than just reading a 10-K.

Ben shares actionable frameworks for evaluating microcap software companies, offers a nuanced view on AI’s impact on infrastructure and margins, and explains why, for him, true due diligence means turning over every rock. And for full disclosure, we discussed a number of companies during today’s podcast. I am not a shareholder in any of them.

For more information about the Stock Talk Newsletter, please visit: https://stocktalknewsletter.substack.com/

Watch on YouTube:

Overview/Breakdown of the interview:

From Wall Street to Startups: Ben Brostoff’s Journey

Summary:Ben Brostoff began his career in investment banking at Wells Fargo, focusing on securitizations in commercial aircraft and container leasing—an industry he describes as stable but capital-intensive. Wanting to work in a more dynamic, innovative space, he taught himself to code and joined Boston-based startup Klaviyo. This pivot helped him see the deeper layers of value creation in tech.

Notable Insights:

* Early banking experience taught him how to evaluate credit and leasing businesses.

* At Klaviyo, he realized the product wasn’t “just email marketing” but rather “the brains behind your marketing engine.”

Quote:

“This actually isn't email marketing. This is personalization. This is kind of the brains behind your marketing engine.”

A Pragmatic Investing Philosophy

Summary:After becoming a father, Brostoff shifted to a more conservative, risk-adjusted return mindset. He targets 8–10% returns, matching historical equity returns, and views risk mitigation as central to his approach. In today’s higher interest rate environment, he often compares stocks to fixed-income options to gauge attractiveness.

Key Principles:

* Set return targets before picking stocks.

* Only invest in companies he has deeply researched—via writing.

* Microcaps must offer asymmetric return potential to justify risk.

Quote:

“I'm very comfortable just saying I'm going to take an eight if I get 8% returns... I'd like to take the least amount of risk possible to achieve that.”

AI and Software: First-Inning Impacts

Summary:Brostoff believes the AI revolution is fundamentally altering how software is built and evaluated. Tools like Cursor are significantly boosting developer productivity. However, he emphasizes that durable software businesses still rely on infrastructure, people, and deep ecosystems that AI alone cannot replicate.

Subtopics:

* Development evolution: Open-source and cloud infrastructure laid the groundwork for today's AI tools.

* Moats matter: Ecosystem lock-in, APIs, and migration costs preserve competitive advantage.

* AI in practice: Used more for enhancing margins or product capabilities than creating standalone business lines.

Quotes:

“AI has to impact every single investment decision you make.”“The laws of competitive moats have changed a lot for software… but people and processes are not trivial to replicate.”

MicroCap Software: What to Look For

Summary:Brostoff is cautious when evaluating microcap software companies. He emphasizes that enterprise sales are challenging and demands evidence of traction and pricing power. He distinguishes hype from reality by analyzing growth drivers and margin potential.

Key Filters:

* Growth realism: Enterprise success must be proven, not projected.

* Margin dynamics: AI should support—not cannibalize—margins.

* Competitive advantage: He looks for businesses with clear cost or performance edge, like Backblaze.

Quotes:

“Enterprise sales is really hard.”“This new AI feature shouldn’t just be a buzzword—it should justify a price increase or deepen the moat.”

Lessons from the Field: Leverage Cuts

Summary:One of Brostoff’s biggest lessons came from his investment in National Cinemedia. Despite an industry rebound post-COVID, the company’s high leverage left it vulnerable. A key customer bankruptcy led to a cascade that wiped out equity holders.

Takeaway:Even with strong fundamentals, over-levered companies can collapse under unexpected stress. Time, a key investor advantage, disappears when debt is too high.

Quote:

“Leverage cuts. You don't get the benefit of time when you’re that levered.”

Research Discipline and Advice to New Investors

Summary:Brostoff attributes much of his investing success to his insistence on writing detailed blog posts before buying any stock. He encourages new investors to “turn over every rock” by reaching out to management, investors, and peers to build a 360-degree view of each opportunity.

Practical Advice:

* Write your thesis. Forces clarity and conviction.

* Talk to everyone. Information asymmetry still exists in microcaps.

* Understand incentives. Management’s behavior often tells you more than filings.

Quotes:

“I'm not going to own anything unless I've written a blog post about it.”“Turn over every rock.”

Final Thoughts: Investing in a Changing Landscape

Summary:Brostoff is cautiously optimistic about trends like AI and data centers but warns that identifying the trend is not the same as picking a winner. He watches Nvidia’s calls and the semiconductor cycle for insight but avoids falling for fads, comparing it to the cannabis real estate hype.

Quote:

“Understanding a trend is different from getting the investment right… only a small percentage of companies in emerging industries ultimately succeed.”

Planet MicroCap Podcast is on YouTube! All archived episodes and each new episode will be posted on the Planet MicroCap YouTube channel. I’ve provided the link in the description if you’d like to subscribe. You’ll also get the chance to watch all our Video Interviews with management teams, educational panels from the conference, as well as expert commentary from some familiar guests on the podcast.

Subscribe here: http://bit.ly/1Q5Yfym

Click here to rate and review the Planet MicroCap Podcast

The Planet MicroCap Podcast is brought to you by SNN Incorporated, The Official MicroCap News Source, and the Planet MicroCap Review Magazine, the leading magazine in the MicroCap market.

You can Follow the Planet MicroCap Podcast on Twitter @BobbyKKraft



This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit microcapnewsletter.substack.com

Tune into the Planet MicroCap Podcast for a grounded, no-fluff conversation about the often-overlooked world of small public companies. Host Robert Kraft, who brings his perspective as Editor-in-Chief of StockNewsNow.com, steers discussions that go far beyond simple stock picks. Here, the focus is on building a durable framework for understanding microcap and emerging growth companies-the kind of businesses that might fly under the radar of mainstream financial news but hold significant potential for informed investors. Each episode delves into the strategies, research methods, and critical thinking required to navigate this unique segment of the market. You’ll hear from seasoned investors, company executives, and industry analysts who provide concrete insights rather than abstract theory. This podcast from the SNN Network is essentially a toolkit for developing your own analytical edge, whether you're a seasoned investor looking to diversify or someone curious about the foundational steps of investing in smaller equities. It’s about education through real-world examples and candid conversations, all aimed at demystifying the process and highlighting both the opportunities and the inherent risks. For anyone tired of surface-level market chatter and seeking a deeper, more substantive dialogue, this series offers a consistently valuable resource.
Author: Language: English Episodes: 100

Planet MicroCap Podcast | MicroCap Investing Strategies
Podcast Episodes
PLBY Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: PLBY): Managing the Turnaround at Playboy [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 54:15
My guest on the show today is Ben Kohn, President and CEO of PLBY Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: PLBY). PLBY Group, Inc. is a global pleasure and leisure company connecting consumers with products, content, and experiences that he…