We’ve pitched you businesses and described graphs, but this week Mike and Emmet put the power in your hands and teach you how to find multibagger stocks. And it can be as simple as one metric: insider ownership.
Inspired by the beloved book Investment Intelligence, we show you how to monitor and understand insider buying. This includes which executives to pay special attention to, how much is considered a meaningful purchase, and how to distinguish between virtue signalling and genuine investment.
Overall, insiders are great at identifying when stocks are undervalued, especially when that undervaluation is driven by poor market sentiment. They might not be the best at timing the absolute bottom (to be fair, who is?), but they often reap the rewards over the long term.
Emmet also reveals that the insider signal with the greatest historical returns is when a CEO buys shares after a large decline. If they’re willing to stake both their reputation and cold hard cash on better days ahead, it’s worth paying attention.
It’s also an apt time for the topic, as there has been a flurry of insider buying recently, so Mike walks you through some of the biggest headlines.
Anthony Noto, CEO of SoFi Technologies (SOFI), bought roughly $1 million worth of shares on March 2nd, almost calling the bottom to the cent.
Scott Nuttall and Joseph Bae, Co-CEOs of KKR & Co. (KKR), also stepped in to buy shares despite growing concerns about the private credit market. With the stock down roughly 40% since July, the pair each purchased 100,000 shares across two rounds of buying. The cluster buying suggests leadership sees an opportunity.
Greg Abel, Vice Chairman of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B) and Warren Buffett’s designated successor, has committed his $15 million salary to buying Berkshire shares. This appears to be as much a cultural signal as an investment decision, reinforcing Berkshire’s long-standing emphasis on alignment between management and shareholders.
Jeff Green, CEO of The Trade Desk (TTD), bought nearly $150 million in shares at the beginning of the month. The stock has fallen significantly from its highs amid concerns that Amazon (AMZN) is building its own competing advertising platform. However, news broke on March 5th that The Trade Desk may partner with OpenAI on advertising opportunities and the stock soared. But everyone thinks the timing is a little suspicious.
Andrew Robinson, CEO of Skyward Specialty Insurance (SKWD), has also been buying shares. The company recently caught Emmet’s eye so he was excited to see the disclosure.
We wrap with Follow Prophet.
In celebration of St. Patrick’s Day, all of our services are on sale. From Horizon to Prophet, it’s a great time to find your next life-changing investment (at a discount). Importantly, our Insider Bot lives inside Horizon so if you want to invest like a CEO or CFO now is the time.
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00:00 Intro05:23 Why Insider Buying Matters17:09 Cluster Buys And Timing20:21 Insider Bot Alerts Explained22:10 SoFi Buys26:56 ServiceNow CEO Buys29:17 Trade Desk Mega Buy36:45 CFO Buys Matter41:18 Follow Prophet
