A New Fed Put?

A New Fed Put?

Author: Alfonso Peccatiello & Brent Donnelly May 3, 2024 Duration: 37:24
Descrizione: Nominal growth is showing some early signs of fatigue, while economists' expectations remain elevated and market pricing still quite hawkish. Alf and Brent discuss potential opportunities arising from this setup, and spend time arguing whether Powell just announced a new Fed Put this week.  Link to Brent's favorite podcast this week: https://pod.link/1594407589/episode/48072fb61a2a4cd1bf4fbbf9dff7e555

Alfonso Peccatiello and Brent Donnelly bring the high-stakes energy of a dealing room straight to your headphones with The Macro Trading Floor. This isn't a dry lecture on economic theory; it's a dynamic conversation where complex global themes-from central bank decisions and inflation trends to geopolitical shifts and technological disruptions-are translated into clear market language. You'll hear their unfiltered analysis and genuine back-and-forth, which often leads to specific, actionable ideas for navigating currencies, bonds, and equities. The discussion naturally spans business, investing, and news, reflecting the hosts' own trading-floor mentality where all information is connected. Tune in for a blend of seasoned perspective and lively debate that makes understanding the forces moving your money both engaging and practical. Each episode of this podcast feels like getting a direct feed from two experts who are as focused on the "why" behind market moves as they are on the potential opportunities those moves create.
Author: Language: English Episodes: 100

The Macro Trading Floor
Podcast Episodes
Financial Repression Is Here To Stay [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 38:06
Alf and Brent discuss the recent sharp moves in US election polls and betting markets: Trump's odds are moving up, and so are the odds of a Red Sweep. Is the market fully incorporating these odds? Also, the duo discusses…
What If The Fed Made a Mistake? [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 39:27
Alf and Brent discuss the most recent US macro data releases: the hurricane impacted jobless claims, and core inflation has surprised to the upside. Trump now seems to decidedly lead the polls, and his policies could be…
Macro Risks On The Horizon [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 34:33
EXCLUSIVE DISCOUNT TO ALF & BRENT CONFERENCE https://www.spectramarkets.com/macro-roadmap-2025/ Use the coupon TMTF to get $200 OFF. Only for the first 100 users - first come, first serve! -------------------------------…
Unpacking The Chinese Stimulus Bazooka [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 36:35
The Chinese stimulus bazooka has been fired. Chinese authorities have announced aggressive interest rate cuts, a 1 trillion yuan capital injection for Chinese banks, and they are also mentioning the magic words: fiscal s…
How To Trade The Fed Cutting Cycle [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 35:50
Alf and Brent discuss the jumbo 50 bps Fed cut and the nuances Powell shared during the press conference. They look at historical parallels to derive how to best approach different asset classes with a specific focus on…
The World is Different Now [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 41:14
Alf and Brent discuss similarities and differences between the world and the macro cycle today versus the pre-pandemic period. While the cycle might look similar, should we not pay attention to the structural differences…
Will The Fed Cut by 25 or 50 bps? [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 36:45
Alf and Brent discuss recent developments in macro and labor market data, and debate whether the Fed will cut by 25 or 50 bps in September. Is the bond market overestimating the amount of upcoming cuts, or economic weakn…
How & When The Best Macro Investors Use Options [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 40:10
In this episode, Alf and Brent discuss how cross-asset pricing in bonds, FX and equity markets has rapidly changed in August and compare it with the hard economic reality: are there opportunities to be exploited? They th…
A Tale of Crowded Macro Trades [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 36:22
Alf and Brent reflect on the immense volatility hitting markets recently, and specifically on the unwind of carry trades: are we done here or is there more to come? Most importantly, they describe how to design and apply…
Macro Mayhem! [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 39:38
Alf and Brent reflect on the massive bond market rally and the explosive move in the Japanese Yen - what’s next for macro? To contact Alf: send him an email at info@palinurocapital.com or contact him on Bloomberg (Alfons…