Are Markets Really Priced For A Recession? | John Normand

Are Markets Really Priced For A Recession? | John Normand

Author: Alfonso Peccatiello & Brent Donnelly January 22, 2023 Duration: 55:40
On today's episode of The Macro Trading Floor, Andreas and Alfonso welcome John Normand Cross-Asset Strategist, JPM alum for a global macro tour of the world. John walks through the most anticipated recession in history by looking at the current market pricing in FX, rates and credit. Has the forecasted slowdown in 2023 really started to rear its head under the headlines in financial media? John then goes on to discuss the Chinese reopening and what implications the second largest economy coming back online will have for the rest of the global economy as inflation continues on it's current downtrend. Finally, John shares his actionable trade idea, but to hear that, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow John: https://www.linkedin.com/in/john-normand-4b902b55/ Follow Andreas: https://twitter.com/AndreasSteno Follow Alf: https://twitter.com/MacroAlf Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Subscribe To The Macro Compass: https://www.themacrocompass.com/ Subscribe To Steno Research: https://stenoresearch.com/ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- WisdomTree is a global ETF and ETP sponsor and asset manager founded in 2006 and with a track record of innovation and creating better ways to invest. Today, we offer a broad range of differentiated ETFs and ETPs across equities, thematics, commodities, fixed income, currencies, short and leveraged, and cryptocurrencies with over $80 billion in assets under management. For more information, please visit https://bit.ly/3VXYPkx -- This episode is sponsored by Curve. Curve is unlike any other credit card. It gives you the power to connect multiple credit and debit cards into one, convert your cashback into crypto rewards, Go Back in Time ®, create Smart Rules, and more. Apply now through https://link.curve.com/blockworks_mac..., you’ll earn $20 in Curve Cash after your first transaction. So sign up today! Terms and conditions apply. -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:55) What Is Happening With The BoJ? (05:55) The ECB Is Going Against The Tide (09:23) What Is The Trade? (12:15) Feature Interview With John Normand (18:41) Curve Ad (20:08) A 2023 Global Macro Outlook (24:00) The Most Anticipated Recession In History (30:31) Structural Shifts In The Economy (34:29) Wisdom Tree Ad (35:03) Asset Allocation In 2023 (38:13) John's Actionable Trade Idea (40:55) Post Interview: Final Thoughts (45:28) Preparing For A Global Slowdown -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on The Macro Trading Floor should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Alfonso Peccatiello and Brent Donnelly bring the high-stakes energy of a dealing room straight to your headphones with The Macro Trading Floor. This isn't a dry lecture on economic theory; it's a dynamic conversation where complex global themes-from central bank decisions and inflation trends to geopolitical shifts and technological disruptions-are translated into clear market language. You'll hear their unfiltered analysis and genuine back-and-forth, which often leads to specific, actionable ideas for navigating currencies, bonds, and equities. The discussion naturally spans business, investing, and news, reflecting the hosts' own trading-floor mentality where all information is connected. Tune in for a blend of seasoned perspective and lively debate that makes understanding the forces moving your money both engaging and practical. Each episode of this podcast feels like getting a direct feed from two experts who are as focused on the "why" behind market moves as they are on the potential opportunities those moves create.
Author: Language: English Episodes: 100

The Macro Trading Floor
Podcast Episodes
Banks: The Big Picture [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 48:39
On today's episode of The Macro Trading Floor, Alfonso & Andreas discuss the continued turmoil across the banking sector. Alfonso & Andreas break down the liquidity measures set in place for the current period of banking…
From Liquidity To A Credit Crisis [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

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On today's episode of The Macro Trading Floor, Alfonso & Andreas discuss the continued fallout from the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, and what it means for markets. The Fed's H.4.1 report was released this past week,…
Panic In The Banking System [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

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On today's episode of The Macro Trading Floor, Alfonso & Andreas walk through the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. On a historic week where we saw the collapse of the largest bank since 2008, we walk through the dynamics…
It's Lonely On Disinflation Island  [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 34:30
On today's episode of The Macro Trading Floor, Alfonso & Andreas discuss the data points suggesting a possible resurgence of inflation in both the U.S and Europe. As the yield curve continues to reprice higher, how does…
There's No Bull Case For Risk Assets [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 37:50
On today's episode of The Macro Trading Floor, Alfonso & Andreas walk through the biggest stories of the week and discuss everyone's most asked question right now, hard landing, soft landing or no landing? As the U.S hou…
Why Is Powell Ignoring "Animal Spirits" [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 39:17
On today's episode of The Macro Trading Floor, Alfonso & Andreas reflect on the first six weeks of 2023. As most investors anticipated recessionary pressures in H1, and for markets to head lower, so far "animal spirits"…
Recession, Soft Landing or Higher For Longer? | Kevin Flanagan [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 57:19
On today's episode of The Macro Trading Floor, Andreas and Alfonso welcome Kevin Flanagan Head of Fixed Income Strategy at WisdomTree for a discussion on everything happening in global bond markets. Since 2022, the conse…
Animal Spirits Are Back For Markets [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 32:55
On today's episode of The Macro Trading Floor, Alfonso & Andreas take a look into another busy week in central banking with the Fed, ECB & BoE all announcing further rate hikes on their tightening cycles. Markets have ra…
Is The Recession Already Over? [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 32:38
On today's episode of "The Macro Trading Floor," Andreas and Alfonso interpret the latest macroeconomic data and prepare for a week of important central bank meetings. They wonder whether the recent bullish movements in…
Macro Is Back With A Vengeance | Steve Drobny [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 48:17
On today's episode of "The Macro Trading Floor," Andreas and Alfonso welcome Steve Drobny Founder and CEO at Clocktower Group for an inside look into the hedge fund industry. With the past two years spurring the return o…