It's Lonely On Disinflation Island 

It's Lonely On Disinflation Island 

Author: Alfonso Peccatiello & Brent Donnelly March 5, 2023 Duration: 34:30
On today's episode of The Macro Trading Floor, Alfonso & Andreas discuss the data points suggesting a possible resurgence of inflation in both the U.S and Europe. As the yield curve continues to reprice higher, how does this impact the higher for longer thesis in rates? Alf and Andreas then share their actionable trade ideas, but to hear that, you'll have to tune in! -- Today's show is sponsored by Public.com: Get a 5.1% yield when you open a government-backed Treasury Account.* That's a higher yield than a high-yield savings account.** Go to https://public.com/macrotradingfloor *26-week T-bill rate (as of 3/5/23) when held to maturity. Rate shown is gross of fees. **As compared to the national high-yield savings average of 3.43% (Source: Time.com/NextAdvisor as of 12/30/22). -- Follow Andreas: https://twitter.com/AndreasSteno Follow Alf: https://twitter.com/MacroAlf Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Subscribe To The Macro Compass: https://www.themacrocompass.com/ Subscribe To Steno Research: https://stenoresearch.com/ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Referenced In The Show: Blackstone Defaults on Nordic CMBS as Property Values Wobble: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-03-02/blackstone-defaults-on-531-million-nordic-property-backed-cmbs -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:35) It's Lonely On Disinflationary Island (05:19) Where Is The Chinese Reopening Stimulus? (12:25) When Do You Fade The Narrative? (18:59) “Public Ad” (19:31) Blackstone Defaults On CMBS (27:12) Actionable Trade Ideas -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on The Macro Trading Floor should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Alfonso Peccatiello and Brent Donnelly bring the high-stakes energy of a dealing room straight to your headphones with The Macro Trading Floor. This isn't a dry lecture on economic theory; it's a dynamic conversation where complex global themes-from central bank decisions and inflation trends to geopolitical shifts and technological disruptions-are translated into clear market language. You'll hear their unfiltered analysis and genuine back-and-forth, which often leads to specific, actionable ideas for navigating currencies, bonds, and equities. The discussion naturally spans business, investing, and news, reflecting the hosts' own trading-floor mentality where all information is connected. Tune in for a blend of seasoned perspective and lively debate that makes understanding the forces moving your money both engaging and practical. Each episode of this podcast feels like getting a direct feed from two experts who are as focused on the "why" behind market moves as they are on the potential opportunities those moves create.
Author: Language: English Episodes: 100

The Macro Trading Floor
Podcast Episodes
It's All About Liquidity & Inflation Now [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 43:52
The debt ceiling soap opera is over and hence it’s time to rebuild the Treasury General Account - Alf and Andreas bust some of the myths around this topic, and discuss the real market implications out of this. They also…
The AI 5 versus the S&P 495 [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 36:22
Tech stocks are pushing stock indexes higher, with AI-related companies (NVIDIA?) leading the rally more decisively while the ''S&P 495'' doesn't join the party. Alf and Andreas discuss this trend, update us on the debt…
A Macro Trader Playbook with Jim Leitner [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 38:51
How does a professional macro investor think about a multipolar world where investment opportunities and challenges might lie outside the US and China? How does he manage risks, correlations and how does he go about find…
The Debt Ceiling Drama is Approaching [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 37:38
The X-Date for the debt ceiling is approaching and US politicians don't seem keen in finding a swift resolution. This will impact global liquidity, the bond markets and the US Dollar. Alf and Andreas discuss this theme,…
The Credit Crunch is Here [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 34:06
Subscribe to The Macro Trading Floor YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFk1qCySNf2FIzIidVVW81A -- Alf and Andreas discuss the recent Federal Reserve and ECB decisions and the market reactions. They also d…
First Republic Under Stress, Now What? [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 43:12
Subscribe To The Macro Trading Floor: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFk1qCySNf2FIzIidVVW81A -- On today's episode of The Macro Trading Floor, Alfonso & Andreas discuss the continued banking turmoil as First Republic B…
What's Happening In Global Macro? [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 38:32
Subscribe to The Macro Trading Floor YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFk1qCySNf2FIzIidVVW81A -- On today's episode of The Macro Trading Floor, Alfonso & Andreas take a tour of the global macro landscape…
Here Is Why Markets Are Rallying [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 38:25
On today's episode of The Macro Trading Floor, Alfonso & Andreas begin by breaking down the bank earnings on the back of the recent banking turmoil across markets. We then discuss why markets are rallying as everything f…
The Hiking Cycle Is Over [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 34:13
On today's episode of The Macro Trading Floor, Alfonso & Andreas discuss the recent economic data releases and the growth slowdown they are signalling. We then explore the chances of a Fed pause/pivot. Have the probabili…
The End of The US Dollar? [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 33:02
On today's episode of The Macro Trading Floor, Alfonso & Andreas begin by discussing the banking turmoil of recent weeks and how commercial real estate could impact loan books in both the U.S and Europe. Alfonso & Andrea…