The Real Stress Is Not In The US, But Elsewhere | Brent Donnelly

The Real Stress Is Not In The US, But Elsewhere | Brent Donnelly

Author: Alfonso Peccatiello & Brent Donnelly November 13, 2022 Duration: 55:31
On today’s episode of “The Macro Trading Floor,” Andreas and Alfonso welcome Brent Donnelly President of Spectra Markets for a discussion on the economic weakness around the world. With market participants focusing on the U.S as Powell continues to fight inflation, Brent reminds us that the real stress is not in the U.S, but elsewhere. Looking to Canada, Brent walks through the fragility he sees in the Canadian economy, and discusses vulnerability in the housing market as mortgages reprice with higher interest rates. Finally, Brent shares his actionable trade idea, but to hear that, you'll have to tune in! -- Today, The Macro compass graduates from the biggest macro newsletter in the world to an all-round platform whose aim is to help investors fill the data, tools and macro knowledge gap they unfortunately face versus Wall Street. It will be a macro learning journey filled with educational reports, interactive tools and actionable portfolio strategy to help you become a better macro investor. And if you are an institutional investor already, the Pro tier will help sharpen your macro game through dedicated professional products and tools. As a listener of The Macro Trading Floor, you can use the code ''TMTF'' for a 10% discount and sign up for the tier that best fits your needs starting from only $27 per month. Sign up here: https://www.themacrocompass.com/our-products/ -- Follow Brent: https://twitter.com/donnelly_brent Follow Andreas: https://twitter.com/AndreasSteno Follow Alf: https://twitter.com/MacroAlf Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Subscribe To The Macro Compass: https://themacrocompass.substack.com/ Subscribe To Stenos Signals: https://andreassteno.substack.com/ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- (00:00) Introduction (00:50) Top Stories of The Week (11:36) Feature Interview With Brent Donnelly (16:24) Drawing Comparisons Between 2022 & 2001 (21:19) Brent's Outlook On Inflation (29:16) The Housing Market (33:45) Brent's Actionable Trade Idea (42:21) Post Interview: Final Thoughts (53:38) Launching The Macro Compass Platform -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on The Macro Trading Floor should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Alfonso Peccatiello and Brent Donnelly bring the high-stakes energy of a dealing room straight to your headphones with The Macro Trading Floor. This isn't a dry lecture on economic theory; it's a dynamic conversation where complex global themes-from central bank decisions and inflation trends to geopolitical shifts and technological disruptions-are translated into clear market language. You'll hear their unfiltered analysis and genuine back-and-forth, which often leads to specific, actionable ideas for navigating currencies, bonds, and equities. The discussion naturally spans business, investing, and news, reflecting the hosts' own trading-floor mentality where all information is connected. Tune in for a blend of seasoned perspective and lively debate that makes understanding the forces moving your money both engaging and practical. Each episode of this podcast feels like getting a direct feed from two experts who are as focused on the "why" behind market moves as they are on the potential opportunities those moves create.
Author: Language: English Episodes: 100

The Macro Trading Floor
Podcast Episodes
Option Markets Are Eating The World [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 37:49
In this episode, Alf invites Cem Karsan to discuss what's going on in option markets. Cem does a great job at explaining what's the dispersion trade, how big it has become, and how it might unwind wreaking havoc across a…
What Powell Really Meant [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 39:32
A big macro week is behind us: the combination of CPI and PPI releases provide us with solid information on where the disinflation trend stands. Alf and Brent also discuss Powell’s press conference + change in dots and t…
Risk Management Principles [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 38:25
Alf and Brent discuss the ECB and Bank of Canada cuts, and reflect on the big bond market moves seen recently coupled with carry trade implosions. The discussion focuses around risk management principles to prevent bad l…
Don't Make This Mistake [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 28:31
Free Trial to Alf's Institutional Research? Ping Alfonso Peccatiello on Bloomberg for more info! In this podcast, Alf invites Peter Farac (aka @countdraghula on Twitter) to the show. Peter brings a wealth of experience r…
How Macro Traders Navigate Uncertainties [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 37:08
Want to meet Alf and Brent in person?! Fill in this 30-second survey so we can make this happen: https://www.eSurveysPro.com/Survey.aspx?id=ad4fe049-95b7-40ef-a46b-f1bdc509b256 In this episode, Alf and Brent discuss how…
How To Trade Macro Now? [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 35:42
(Links mentioned in the podcast are in the show notes below: check them out!) Alf and Brent discuss the soft patch the US seems to be going through and the CPI number released this week. If markets are going to continue…
Early Signs of Weakness [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 37:46
The Bank of England pre-announced a rate cut in June, the Swedish Riksbank cut interest rates, and there are a few early signs of weakness emerging in the US as well. Is the market ready for a regime switch? Alf and Bren…
A New Fed Put? [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 37:24
Descrizione: Nominal growth is showing some early signs of fatigue, while economists' expectations remain elevated and market pricing still quite hawkish. Alf and Brent discuss potential opportunities arising from this s…
A Contrarian Macro Thesis [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 37:59
US Q1 Real GDP printed below expectations but still at a respectable 1.6%, and core inflation was hotter than analysts forecast: more fuel on the fire of the reflation theme? Alf and Brent present a contrarian macro thes…
What if Hikes are Stimulative?! [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 36:36
The Fed is all of a sudden opening up to the possibility of hikes: what now? But most importantly: have you ever thought about the possibility of Fed hikes being stimulative? And finally: do you have any idea why every C…