Seed May Still Be Strong, But There's No Bounce Back at Series A: Redpoint's Data and More

Seed May Still Be Strong, But There's No Bounce Back at Series A: Redpoint's Data and More

Author: Jason M. Lemkin 🦄 April 2, 2024 Duration: 16:54

So Redpoint Ventures published some of the slides they recently presented to their Limited Partners (their own investors) here.

There's a ton of good data there, but this one slide stood out to me, because it was put together in a really clear fashion, better than other data sources I've seen.

And what it says is that even though Seed stage investing remains arguably as strong as ever ... Series A hasn't bounced back.  Not at all:

Per there data, there is some modest pick-up at Series B and C, but that's less relevant to most founders.  What's most important is after a seed round ... how hard is it to raise another round?

Raising a Series A is as hard as it's been since 2018 is the answer.  And it hasn't gotten any easier since last year.

This just makes sense.  The public markets are up overall, but multiples aren't, and overall growth in public SaaS companies has slowed.

It shouldn't be any easier to raise a Series A, outside of AI Hype deals.   And per Redpoint's data -- it isn't.  Although Redpoint suggests that historical data suggests we may be bouncing off lows in terms of funding rates.

And on a related note, Redpoint data shows that the hottest late-stage "AI" deals are getting done at 3x the price of non-AI deals.  We knew that, too, but helpful to see it clearly here:

But, while AI deals are priced at 3x "normal" growth rounds -- investors are looking for 2.5x the growth.  There's no free lunch.

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Hosted by Jason M. Lemkin, The Official SaaStr Podcast: SaaS | Founders | Investors goes straight to the source, pulling back the curtain on what it really takes to build and fund a software company. Each conversation is a direct line to the experiences of prominent founders and seasoned investors, moving beyond theory into the practical realities of scaling a business. You’ll hear founders break down the grueling yet critical journey from zero to one hundred million dollars in annual recurring revenue, discussing the inflection points that most companies face and the often-overlooked details of hiring a team that can sustain growth. From the investor side, the discussions reveal how the most successful backers evaluate opportunities, what metrics they scrutinize beyond the pitch deck, and how their partnership evolves with a company through various stages. This podcast is built on the premise that the collective wisdom of those who have navigated the SaaS landscape is the best guide for those currently in the trenches. The result is a resource that feels like a series of candid, master-level conversations, offering actionable insights for operators aiming to accelerate their path to scale and for anyone curious about the mechanics of venture capital in the software world. Tune in for unscripted lessons from the front lines of the industry.
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