How You Can Predict The Future Better Than World-Famous Experts - The Art & Science of Risk with Dan Gardner

How You Can Predict The Future Better Than World-Famous Experts - The Art & Science of Risk with Dan Gardner

Author: Matt Bodnar October 26, 2023 Duration: 46:59
In this episode we discuss the radical mismatch between your intuitive sense of risk and the actual risks you face. We look at why most experts and forecasters are less accurate than dart throwing monkeys. We talk about how to simply and easily dramatically reduce your risk of most major dangers in your life. We explore the results from the “good judgment project” study of more than 20,000 forecasts. We talk about what superforecasters are and how they beat prediction markets, intelligence analysts with classified information, and software algorithms to make the best possible forecasts and MUCH more with Dan Gardner.

Matt Bodnar hosts The Science of Success, a conversation grounded in the practical application of research rather than abstract theory. Each episode moves beyond simple self-help platitudes, instead dissecting the mechanics of decision-making, the hidden patterns of psychology, and the frameworks that high performers use to navigate complexity. You’ll hear from a diverse range of experts-from entrepreneurs and scientists to authors and researchers-who share actionable insights drawn from evidence, not just anecdote. The discussions are structured to unpack how our minds work, why we behave the way we do in business and social settings, and what tangible steps we can take to refine our processes and habits. This isn't about quick fixes; it's a deep, ongoing exploration of personal and professional development through a lens of rigorous inquiry. By focusing on data-driven strategies, this podcast provides a reliable resource for anyone looking to cut through the noise and understand the foundational principles behind lasting growth. Tune in for thoughtful analysis and conversations that challenge conventional wisdom, all aimed at helping you build a more effective and examined life.
Author: Language: English Episodes: 50

The Science of Success
Podcast Episodes
You Aren’t Actually Self-Aware with Tasha Eurich [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 41:52
In this episode, we tell the truth about self-awareness. 95% of people think they are self-aware but only 10% actually are. Where do you think you stand and what can you do to improve what our guest calls the superpower…
Defeat FOMO & Make More Confident Decisions [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 46:48
In this episode we share how you can be more confident when make the tough decisions in your life, discuss how to deal with FOMO and show you the key to ultimately achieving greatness with our guest Patrick McGinnis. Pat…
The Shades of Influence with Robin Dreeke and Chase Hughes [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 1:00:15
This week we’re diving into the two sides of the topic of influence. Surprisingly, there are two very different schools of thought on the best way to influence someone. But which style is more effective? What are the pro…
How You Can Stop Distraction Right Now with Nir Eyal [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 51:41
In this episode we talk about one of the MOST important skills in the modern world - the ability to be inDISTRACTable. Are you sick and tired of distraction? Do you feel constantly overwhelmed in a world of notifications…