Mortgage Rate Forecasting: What Realtors Need to Know for 2025

Mortgage Rate Forecasting: What Realtors Need to Know for 2025

Author: Mike Mills August 12, 2025 Duration: 53:32

Confused about when mortgage rates will finally drop? You're not alone—and this episode brings the answers. Kendall Garrison, CEO of Amplify Credit Union, joins Mike Mills to unpack what the Fed’s latest decision means for interest rates, real estate professionals, and your clients’ wallets.

🎯 Episode Overview

Mortgage Rate Forecasting is top of mind for Realtors in 2025—and in this data-packed episode, we’re giving you the insights you’ve been waiting for.

Mike Mills sits down with Kendall Garrison, CEO of Amplify Credit Union, to discuss the Federal Reserve’s recent decision not to cut rates, and what that signals for the housing market going forward. Together, they break down what real estate professionals need to understand about:

  • The real reason mortgage rates haven’t dropped
  • How the bond market and inflation data are shaping 2025 predictions
  • The surprising relationship between national debt, tariffs, and homebuyer affordability
  • Why fee-free banking is a game-changer for consumers and small businesses
  • A long-term wealth strategy Realtors can share with clients now

This is a must-listen if you're helping clients navigate rising costs, economic uncertainty, or struggling to make sense of rate volatility. By the end of the episode, you’ll walk away with actionable insights to use in conversations with buyers, sellers, and referral partners.

💡 Key Takeaways

📈 Why the Fed Isn’t Cutting Rates Yet

Kendall explains that inflation data—not just unemployment or GDP—is the primary driver behind the Fed's decisions. Mortgage rates may not move until inflation hits a more consistent decline.

🏦 How the Bond Market Controls Mortgage Rates

Realtors often assume the Fed directly sets mortgage rates, but Kendall breaks down how the 10-year Treasury yield, investor sentiment, and global factors drive the mortgage-backed securities market.

💰 National Debt and Housing Affordability

Rising U.S. debt means higher borrowing costs and unpredictable fiscal policies, which can push rates even higher. Kendall shares how this macro factor trickles down to affordability at the neighborhood level.

🚫 Why Amplify Went Fee-Free

In a bold move, Amplify Credit Union eliminated deposit account fees—something Kendall calls a moral and strategic imperative to support those most affected by traditional banking models.

🏠 Real Estate Is Still a Long Game

Despite market noise, Kendall reaffirms the power of real estate for long-term wealth—highlighting why buying, holding, and refinancing over time is still one of the smartest financial plays.

📚 Resources from This Episode

🔗 Podcast Website:

https://www.thetexasrealestateandfinancepodcast.com

🔗 Host Linktree:

https://linktr.ee/mikemillsmortgage

🎙️ Guest: Kendall Garrison


✅...


Mike Mills hosts The Texas Real Estate & Finance Podcast, a conversation grounded in the specific dynamics of the Texas market. Rather than offering generic advice, each episode digs into the practical details of property investment, mortgage lending, and entrepreneurial strategy within this unique economic landscape. You'll hear from a range of voices-from established investors and loan originators to marketing experts-who share their on-the-ground experiences and hard-won insights. The discussions are built for action, focusing on the tangible steps and nuanced decisions that define success in real estate and finance. Whether you're actively building a portfolio, launching a related business, or simply aiming to understand the forces shaping Texas communities, this podcast provides a clear-eyed look at the opportunities and challenges. Mike facilitates these talks with a focus on depth over hype, ensuring every conversation delivers substance for professionals and dedicated newcomers alike. Tune in for a straightforward exploration of how money moves, properties transform, and careers are built in one of the nation's most vibrant markets.
Author: Language: English Episodes: 100

The Texas Real Estate & Finance Podcast with Mike Mills
Podcast Episodes
Top Realtor Productivity Tools for 2024: Insights from Nikki Miller [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 1:04:31
Discover the secrets behind skyrocketing real estate productivity with insights from Nikki Miller, the powerhouse VP of Lever by Movoto. Learn how to leverage cutting-edge tools and systems to transform your real estate…
Refinance Tips 2024: Key Strategies for Texas Homeowners [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 23:08
Join Mike Mills as he unravels the secrets to thriving in today's fluctuating real estate market. From declining mortgage rates to refinancing strategies, this episode is packed with invaluable insights for Texas realtor…
Mastering Teen Money Management: Jobs, Budgeting, and Investing [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 57:04
Wondering how to teach your teen the art of managing money? This episode reveals practical tips on teen money management, featuring personal experiences from my daughter, Catey Mills. Discover how to help your teen succe…
Understanding Assumable Mortgages: Benefits and Challenges in 2024 [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 25:56
What if there was a way to offer your clients mortgage rates below 4%? Join Mike Mills as he explores the ins and outs of assumable mortgages, along with the latest real estate trends in Texas. Enhance your expertise wit…
Understanding Texas Buyer Rep Agreements Post-NAR Lawsuit [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 59:25
Discover the crucial updates in Texas Buyer Rep Agreements post-NAR lawsuit with expert Amy Cearnal. These changes could significantly impact your real estate business, and staying informed is essential. Tune in to learn…
Rent Price Fixing Exposed: Texas Real Estate Market Update [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 20:56
Are your clients feeling the pinch of rising rents? Find out how algorithmic price fixing is impacting the Texas housing market and what it means for you as a realtor. Listen now to stay ahead of the curve and offer the…
NAR Lawsuit Updates: Insights with HousingWire's James Kleimann [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 57:47
Are you ready for the seismic shifts coming to the real estate market? Join us as HousingWire’s James Kleimann breaks down the latest NAR lawsuit updates and their far-reaching implications. This episode is a must-listen…
Housing Inventory Trends Explained: Real Estate Market Update [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 19:43
Wondering where the housing market is headed this summer? Mike Mills offers an in-depth look at housing inventory trends and mortgage rates that could shape your next move. Don't miss out on these key insights for realto…
Realtor Digital Marketing: Mastering Your Online Presence [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 1:05:31
Are you ready to revolutionize your real estate business? In this episode, we uncover the secrets of Realtor digital marketing that will elevate your online presence. Tune in to discover how mastering digital strategies…