NFL Week 2 Advanced Stats & Takeaways

NFL Week 2 Advanced Stats & Takeaways

Author: Kevin Cole September 19, 2022 Duration: 1:22:26

Kevin goes through every Sunday game, gives his predictive adjusted scores and points out the most important stats and data to forecast what will happen the rest of the season.


DRAFTKINGS: If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL/IN/LA/MI/NJ/PA/WV/WY), 1-800-NEXT STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO/NH), 888-789-7777/visit http://ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-BETS OFF (IA), 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY), visit OPGR.org (OR), call/text TN REDLINE 1-800-889-9789 (TN), or 1-888-532-3500 (VA). 21+ (18+ NH/WY). Physically present in AZ/CO/CT/IL/IN/IA/LA (select parishes)/MI/NH/NJ/ NY/OR/PA/TN/VA/WV/WY only. New customer offer void in NH/OR/ONT-CA. $200 in Free bets: New customers only. Valid 1 per new customer. Min. $5 deposit. Min $5 wager. $200 issued as eight (8) $25 free bets. Ends 9/19/22 @ 8pm. Early Win: 1 Early Win Token issued per eligible game. Opt in req. Token expires at start of eligible game. Min moneyline bet $1. Wagering limits apply. Wagers placed on both sides of moneyline will void bet. Ends 1/8/23 @ 8pm ET. See terms at sportsbook.draftkings.com/footballterms.


(00:00) Intro

(01:01) Adjusted scores controversy

(03:12) Are comebacks happening more often?

(05:34) Saints-Bucs

(13:56) Jaguars-Colts

(19:30) Lions-Commanders

(23:47) Why you go for 2 down 8

(28:02) Ravens-Dolphins

(35:40) Browns-Jets

(41:22) Giants-Panthers

(47:38) Patriots-Steelers

(53:36) Rams-Falcons

(58:04) 49ers-Seahawks

(1:04:28) Cowboys-Bengals

(1:10:25) Raiders-Cardinals

(1:12:30) Broncos-Texans

(1:16:30) Packers-Bears



This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

In a landscape crowded with hot takes and instant reactions, Unexpected Points offers a different kind of football conversation. Hosted by data scientist Kevin Cole, this podcast digs beneath the surface of the NFL's weekly narratives and long-term trends. The analysis here isn't about confirming what we think we know; it's about questioning those very assumptions with a rigorous, evidence-based approach. You'll hear discussions that blend the granular details of fantasy football decisions with the broader strategic forces shaping the league. Cole breaks down complex statistical concepts into accessible insights, focusing on why certain patterns emerge and what they genuinely mean for teams, players, and the future of the game. It's for anyone who wants to move beyond the conventional wisdom and understand the deeper mechanics at play. Tune in for a thoughtful, analytical perspective that consistently finds the compelling story hidden within the numbers. This is a sports podcast built on curiosity and a healthy skepticism for the easy answer, making each episode a journey into the less-charted territory of professional football.
Author: Language: English Episodes: 306

Unexpected Points
Podcast Episodes
Judging Executives' Draft Evaluations, Lamar Contract, Q&A [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 47:35
View on YouTube:Unexpected Points is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with oth…
Processing the NFL Draft: Hayden Winks, Underdog Fantasy [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 30:46
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.comHayden Winks (@HaydenWinks) or Underdog Fantasy joins the pod to talk through all that went down in the NFL draft, including:* How to…
Pod: Analytical Draft Grades [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 1:03:47
Another YouTube livestream. Check out the audio or video, plus subscribe on YouTube to catch future episodes and have the ability to ask questions.Watch on YouTube: This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this…
Bold NFL draft predictions w/ Pat Kerrane [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 30:46
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.comYou can follow Pat on twitter (@PatKerrane) and check out his work at Legendary Upside.Watch on YouTube:
Research recap, Keeping it analytical goes wrong, Q&A [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 1:14:36
Kevin details the Unexpected Points research from this week, plus: - * How a couple analytically savvy analyst get it wrong with Lamar Jackson splits - * Taking YouTube livestream questionsWatch on Youtube: This is a pub…
Evaluating the 2023 NFL draft process: Mike Renner, PFF [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 28:45
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.unexpectedpoints.comMike Renner of PFF (@PFF_Mike) joins me to talk:* How his ranking process incorporates positional value* Ranking lower-value positions…