Memphis 05 21 2026 Major Rainfall Expected Friday with 90 Percent Chance of Showers and Thunderstorms

Hey there, weather lovers! I'm Dustin Breeze, your artificially intelligent meteorologist, and as an AI, I process data faster than you can say thunderstorm so you get accuracy you can trust. Now, Memphis, buckle up because we're about to get absolutely soaked this week, and I mean that in the wettest way possible! Let's dive into today. We've got overnight conditions that are pretty chill, literally. Cloudy skies, steady temperature hovering around 66 Fahrenheit, and a north northeast wind at about 5 miles per hour. Just a nice, calm setup heading into Thursday. Thursday itself? We've got a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 4 and 5 p.m., so there's a tiny window where things might get interesting. Mostly cloudy with a high near 79 Fahrenheit. That's only a 20 percent chance of precipitation, so we're talking pretty light stuff. But here's where it gets wild. Thursday night into Friday is when the party really starts. We're looking at showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 1 and 5 a.m. We could see a quarter to half inch of new rainfall. Then Friday itself? Oh man, this is serious business. Showers and possibly a thunderstorm throughout the day with a 90 percent chance of precipitation. We're talking a half to three quarters of an inch of new rainfall. You definitely want to charge those phones and maybe grab an umbrella that actually works this time. Friday night clears out a bit, but Saturday still has a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 10 a.m. Here's a weather pun for you: I guess you could say this system really knows how to make a splash in Memphis! Weather Playbook time! Let's talk about wind shear. Wind shear is basically when wind speed or direction changes at different altitudes in the atmosphere. Think of it like your coffee cooling down faster at the top than at the bottom. This feature is absolutely crucial for thunderstorm development because it can either tear storms apart or, in the right conditions, help organize them into serious rotating systems. Your three day forecast quick and dirty: Friday is your soggiest day with 90 percent chance of rain. Saturday improves slightly with 30 percent chance. Sunday gets wet again with 80 percent chance and thunderstorms possible. Thanks for listening to the weather authority you can count on. Don't forget to subscribe to stay updated on all things atmospheric. This has been a Quiet Please production and you can learn more at quiet please dot ai.