Indo-Pacific Region Strategy

Indo-Pacific Region Strategy

Author: Academy Securities August 5, 2018 Duration: 26:12
Last week Secretary of State Mike Pompeo announced significant US investment and strategy for the Indo-Pacific Region.  Academy Securities's Head of Geopolitical Strategy Major General James "Spider" Marks and Head of US Rates Sales and Trading Glen Capelo provide their thoughts onn this announcement in this episode.  Geopolitical Strategy Associate Rachel Washburn moderates the discussion.   Table of Contents: Indo-Pacific Campaign: 00:00 - 4:23 Trade War Update: 4:24 - 10:04 Allies in the Region: 10:05 – 25:35     Key Points: Secretary Pompeo’s announcement for the Indo-Pacific economic strategy: Pompeo has put a spotlight on a long-term effort in the Indo-Pacific Region The US has never lost sight of the importance of this region, but the perceived negligence exists because the US has spent the last 17 years at war in the Middle East and SW Asia It is critical for the US to remain engaged in the Indo-Pacific Any solution with North Korea runs through Beijing: China, Japan, and Russia are important partners in the Indo-Pacific Security guarantees help incentivize economic growth Economic effort, on the part of the Chinese, has been their primary element of power to achieve global influence They create dependency- the US needs to provide a legitimate alternative North Korea and Indonesia showcase perfect opportunities for the US to compete with China for influence: China is not going to back away from their military presence in the South China Sea Friends in the region need to know that we remain committed to partnerships- a consistent partner and friend Any engagement with Chinese companies is an engagement with the Chinese intelligence collection apparatus    Market Impact: The market is digesting this information especially as it pertains to long-term challenges with trade: China’s economic system can sustain a long-term trade war and President Xi is prepared This is the beginning of something new: President Trump’s negotiation style is reflective of this new management It is a monumental turn that we have gotten North Korea to the table and opened a dialogue No doubt that the trade war could have collateral damage on our progress with North Korea Economically, these issues will benefit our relationship with Japan When dealing with China, you are not only dealing with private companies but also with the state     

Tune in to Academy Securities: Geopolitical & Macro Strategy Podcast for a clear-eyed analysis of how world events translate into market movements. Hosted by the firm’s own experts, this series moves beyond the headlines to examine the underlying forces-from shifting trade policies and regional tensions to electoral surprises and regulatory changes-that directly influence financial landscapes. Each conversation is built on the premise that today’s geopolitical flashpoints are tomorrow’s investment considerations. You’ll hear detailed assessments that connect dots between distant developments and their potential ripple effects across capital markets and the broader economy. This podcast serves as an essential resource for anyone looking to understand the complex interplay of power, policy, and portfolios. The discussions are grounded in practical strategy, offering listeners a nuanced perspective often missing from daily news cycles. By focusing on tangible risks and opportunities, Academy Securities provides a valuable framework for navigating an increasingly interconnected global stage. Regular episodes ensure you stay informed on the critical junctions where geopolitics and macroeconomics collide.
Author: Language: English Episodes: 93

Academy Securities: Geopolitical & Macro Strategy Podcast
Podcast Episodes
The Geopolitical Impact of Low Oil Prices [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 35:42
The Geopolitical Impact of Low Oil Prices Table of Contents: 0:00 - 2:20: Introduction 2:21 - 7:56: Dealing with China in a COVID Environment 7:57 - 20:00: Impact on the Middle East and North Africa 20:01 - 25:06: Europe…
COVID-19 [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 17:36
Key Points: Peter Tchir Discusses the Need for Federal Assistance to Mitigate the Economic Impact of the Crisis We have now declared war on the coronavirus pandemic here in the United States. The goal is to slow the spre…
Actions in Iran [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 23:24
Key Points: Iran has been severely weakened by sanctions and the death of Soleimani further destabilizes Iran The death of Soleimani is part of a three-part strategy: Constrain Iran’s malign activity Roll back Iran’s inf…
A Strategic Partnership with Turkey [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 24:27
Rachel Washburn and Lieutenant General Robert Walsh discuss the partnership between the United States and Turkey. Recent escalations between Turkey and the Kurds in northern Syria has many Americans questioning the motiv…
Unrest in Hong Kong [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 19:09
Academy Securities Geopolitical SITREP Geopolitical Flashpoints: The Macroeconomic Impact of the Geostrategic Landscape Table of Contents: Hong Kong Protest Background: 00:00 - 4:33 Mainland China’s Response: 4:34 - 11:2…
Trump & Kim DMZ Walk, G20, Iran, & Turkey [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 23:24
Academy Securities discusses the recent meeting between President Trump's & Kim Jong Un's meeting and walk through the demilitarized zone. We also talk about the results (or lack there of) after the G20 summit in Japan.…
Trade War - The Long War [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 26:17
We continue the conversation regarding the Trade War with China. We cover Academy's previous coverage of this subject as well as long term forecasting. Academy Securities has stayed ahead of some of the recent geopolitic…
POTUS Denies Waivers for Iranian Oil Sanctions [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 24:01
Brigadier General Tata, Peter Tchir, Rachel Washburn, and Chance Mims all discuss the Trump Administration's decision to deny waivers to countries that want to buy Iranian Oil against standing sanctions. What threats are…
2019 Second Quarter Outlook [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 32:41
We discuss Geopolitical & Macro Strategy concerns with brigadier General Tony Tata, Major General James Spider Marks, Peter Tchir, and Rachel Washburn. Topics China & Trade Taiwan, US, and China Relations India's Positio…