Everything Is Possible, Nothing Is Inevitable: Why AI Might Be the Ultimate Scarcity Trap
Is the promise of AI abundance Silicon Valley’s biggest lie? That Was The Week publisher Keith Teare argues that while AI will inevitably reduce human labor and increase productivity, the real question isn't economic—it's about distribution. Who, exactly, benefits from all this abundance? Currently, it’s private companies like OpenAI and Google that own the technology; not you and I, the public. This creates what Keith describes as a fork in the road: either a techno-feudal nightmare where few own everything, or a techno-socialist cornucopia where everyone prospers. He points to points to experiments like Sam Altman's Worldcoin as potential solutions, but warns that without deliberate human action, abundance could easily become the ultimate scarcity trap.
As you can tell from this conversation, I'm much more skeptical than Keith. While he sees inevitable productivity gains leading to a potential utopia, I see Silicon Valley's promises of abudance as largely self-serving fantasy. There is no fork in the road and, with or without human agency, everything certainly isn’t possible. Today’s technological reality is growing inequality, not infinite distribution. The fact that Keith's most hopeful model is Sam Altman's chilling crypto scheme for paying people to scan and share their irises is particularly unconvincing. History shows us that new technologies, while promising a cornucopian future, always create new forms of scarcity. The people promoting AI abundance—Zuckerberg, Musk, Altman et al—are painfully antisocial, yet preach about more social time for family and friends. Meanwhile, teachers and journalists and lawyers are already being forced into retirement. Without concrete mechanisms for the redistribution of AI derived wealth, abundance will likely benefit the few who own the technology, not the many who actually need it.
five key takeaways
1. The Economics vs. Distribution Problem AI will inevitably make production cheaper and more efficient, but there's no built-in mechanism ensuring everyone benefits. The proceeds will flow to private companies unless something changes.
2. The Fork in the Road We face two possible futures: a feudal system where a few own everything, or a utopia where abundance benefits everyone. The outcome depends entirely on human choices, not technological inevitability.
3. The End of Required Labor While productivity gains are inevitable, the complete elimination of paid work isn't guaranteed. But as AI becomes cheaper than human labor, employers will have no economic incentive to hire people.
4. Democrats Need the Abundance Narrative The Democratic Party can't win by just redistributing a shrinking pie. They need policies that grow the economy and make abundance politically viable—free healthcare and education require rapid wealth expansion.
5. Experiments Are Already Happening Projects like Sam Altman's Worldcoin (giving everyone AI profits via crypto) and discussions of Universal Income show that practical wealth distribution mechanisms are being tested, not just theorized.
Keen On America is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit keenon.substack.com/subscribe
Bridging Istanbul with Kansas City: Kenan Orhan on the surprising links between the American heartland and the Turkish metropolis
From Ancient Wisdom to Modern Magic: Simon Winchester about the magical way in which knowledge is now transmitted
The Poetry of End Times:" Rishi Dastidar offers a post-apocalyptic jig and reel to dance around our climate crisis
If You Don't Adapt, You Fail: Peter Frankopan on what we can learn from history about today's environmental crisis
From Saddam to the Iraqi heavy metal scene: Faisal Saeed Al Mutar on resisting Al Qaeda, reading John Stuart Mill and eating a good kebab
An Uneducated Memoir: Christopher Zara on flunking out, falling apart and finding his worth in spite of not being "educated"
No, We Are Not Alone: Daniel Siegel explains how we must expand our idea of the "self" to include other people, other species and the earth itself
Halloween Comes Early to Silicon Valley This Year: The death of magazines, DVDs & Buzzfeed News as well as the near-death of Twitter
I Kick and I Fly: Ruchira Gupta on empowering girls to fight against child prostitution and sex trafficking
On God, Goodness & the Value of Persistence: Sam Adeyemi on why evangelicals should be encouraging their followers to think like "leaders"
The World and All That It Holds: Aleksandar Hemon on Sarajevo, Jerusalem and the political significance of "macaronic" language
Seeing Through the Smoke: Peter Grinspoon, MD, untangles the truth about marijuana
What's Love Got To Do With It? Genevieve Wheeler on witty banter, trashing talking and true romance in our social media age