Why Today's AI Boom Is No Dot-Com Bubble
Few people experienced the Dot-Com bubble with more vertiginous intensity than Bill Gross, the Pasadena-based founder of Idealab and many many other internet startups over the last 30 years. So when I sat down with Gross at DLD, I couldn’t resist opening with the boom/bubble gambit. How, I asked him, does today’s AI hysteria compare with the Web 1.0 madness of the Nineties? While Gross - whose current ProRata.ai play is focused on protecting creativity in the age of generative AI - doesn’t believe that today’s boom is akin to the Dot-Com bubble, there are similarities. We are at what Gross calls a “Napster moment” in terms of making the big LLMs accountable for all the content they are illegally crawling (ie: stealing). And to get beyond this moment, he says, everyone from Google and OpenAI to Perplexity and Anthropic, needs to move to a “Spotify model” that fairly shares revenue with the human creators of knowledge.
Keen On America is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit keenon.substack.com/subscribe
Larry Downes on How the Federal Government Failed to Rein in Big Tech in 2022: Expect the Same Inaction in 2023
Peter Wehner: Why 2022 Might Represent the End of the Trump Era and What Might Replace It in 2023
Elissa Epel: More Empathy, More Psychedelics, or More Grapefruit? How to Best Relieve Stress in 2023
Matthew Krogh on Why Watergate Will Never Die: The Moral Lessons of One of Nixon's White House Plumbers
Chris Miller: Why 2022 Was the Year of the Chip and the Three Great Unanswered Questions That Will Bedevil Us in 2023
Peter Coy: Why Inflation Dominated Our 2022 Economy and Why Everything Might Change in 2023
Martin Rees: Why 2022 Was a Triumphant Year for Science and What Needs to Happen in 2023 to Build Upon These Advances
Vivek Wadhwa on Modi, Indian Tech, and Kashmir: What America Gets Wrong About India
Rob Reich and Jeremy Weinstein on Political Regulation and a Moral Education: What Needs to Happen in 2023 to Reign in Big Tech
Jonathan Rauch: Why We Should Be Cautiously Optimistic About the Future of American Democracy, Especially If Joe Biden Doesn't Stand Again For President
Joanne McNeil: What Can We Learn About the AOL Experience of the 1990s to Make Today's Internet More User-Friendly and Civil?
Tony Hiss: No, We Aren't on the Verge of an Environmental Apocalypse: Why 2022 Was a Promising Year For the Planet and What We Need to Do in 2023 to Maintain This Progress
Maciej Kisilowski: How the 2022 Russian Invasion of Ukraine Could Trigger a Nuclear Apocalypse and What We Need to Do in 2023 to Avert This Catastrophe