Scott Aaronson: Against AI Doomerism

Scott Aaronson: Against AI Doomerism

Author: Daniel Bashir May 11, 2023 Duration: 1:09:32

In episode 72 of The Gradient Podcast, Daniel Bashir speaks to Professor Scott Aaronson.

Scott is the Schlumberger Centennial Chair of Computer Science at the University of Texas at Austin and director of its Quantum Information Center. His research interests focus on the capabilities and limits of quantum computers and computational complexity theory more broadly. He has recently been on leave to work at OpenAI, where he is researching theoretical foundations of AI safety. 

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Outline:

* (00:00) Intro

* (01:45) Scott’s background

* (02:50) Starting grad school in AI, transitioning to quantum computing and the AI / quantum computing intersection

* (05:30) Where quantum computers can give us exponential speedups, simulation overhead, Grover’s algorithm

* (10:50) Overselling of quantum computing applied to AI, Scott’s analysis on quantum machine learning

* (18:45) ML problems that involve quantum mechanics and Scott’s work

* (21:50) Scott’s recent work at OpenAI

* (22:30) Why Scott was skeptical of AI alignment work early on

* (26:30) Unexpected improvements in modern AI and Scott’s belief update

* (32:30) Preliminary Analysis of DALL-E 2 (Marcus & Davis)

* (34:15) Watermarking GPT outputs

* (41:00) Motivations for watermarking and language model detection

* (45:00) Ways around watermarking

* (46:40) Other aspects of Scott’s experience with OpenAI, theoretical problems

* (49:10) Thoughts on definitions for humanistic concepts in AI

* (58:45) Scott’s “reform AI alignment stance” and Eliezer Yudkowsky’s recent comments (+ Daniel pronounces Eliezer wrong), orthogonality thesis, cases for stopping scaling

* (1:08:45) Outro

Links:

* Scott’s blog

* AI-related work

* Quantum Machine Learning Algorithms: Read the Fine Print

* A very preliminary analysis of DALL-E 2 w/ Marcus and Davis

* New AI classifier for indicating AI-written text and Watermarking GPT Outputs

* Writing

* Should GPT exist?

* AI Safety Lecture

* Why I’m not terrified of AI



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Hosted by Daniel Bashir, The Gradient: Perspectives on AI moves beyond surface-level headlines to explore the intricate machinery and human ideas shaping artificial intelligence. Each episode is built on a foundation of deep research, leading to conversations that are both technically substantive and broadly accessible. You'll hear from researchers, engineers, and philosophers who are actively building and critiquing our technological future, discussing not just how AI systems work, but the larger implications of their integration into society. This isn't about speculative hype; it's a grounded examination of real progress, persistent challenges, and ethical considerations from those on the front lines. The discussions peel back layers on topics like model architecture, policy, and the fundamental science behind the algorithms becoming part of our daily lives. For anyone curious about the substance behind the buzz-whether you have a technical background or are simply keen to understand a defining technology of our age-this podcast offers a crucial and thoughtful resource. Tune in for a consistently detailed and nuanced take that treats artificial intelligence with the complexity it deserves.
Author: Language: English Episodes: 100

The Gradient: Perspectives on AI
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