Animal Spirits Are Back For Markets

Animal Spirits Are Back For Markets

Author: Alfonso Peccatiello & Brent Donnelly February 5, 2023 Duration: 32:55
On today's episode of The Macro Trading Floor, Alfonso & Andreas take a look into another busy week in central banking with the Fed, ECB & BoE all announcing further rate hikes on their tightening cycles. Markets have rallied through January with the S&P 500 returning roughly 8% so far in 2023. With the most speculative risk asset's rallying the most, it seems that "animal spirits" are back for investors. Alfonso & Andreas walk through the liquidity backdrop before sharing their actionable trade ideas, but to hear that, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow Andreas: https://twitter.com/AndreasSteno Follow Alf: https://twitter.com/MacroAlf Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Subscribe To The Macro Compass: https://www.themacrocompass.com/ Subscribe To Steno Research: https://stenoresearch.com/ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- This episode is sponsored by Curve. Curve is unlike any other credit card. It gives you the power to connect multiple credit and debit cards into one, convert your cashback into crypto rewards, Go Back in Time ®, create Smart Rules, and more. Apply now through https://link.curve.com/blockworks_mac..., you’ll earn $20 in Curve Cash after your first transaction. So sign up today! Terms and conditions apply. -- WisdomTree is a global ETF and ETP sponsor and asset manager founded in 2006 and with a track record of innovation and creating better ways to invest. Today, we offer a broad range of differentiated ETFs and ETPs across equities, thematics, commodities, fixed income, currencies, short and leveraged, and cryptocurrencies with over $80 billion in assets under management. For more information, please visit https://bit.ly/3VXYPkx -- Referenced In The Show: FX weekly: Get ready for climate QE: https://corporate.nordea.com/article/49339/fx-weekly-get-ready-for-climate-qe -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:09) Breaking Down Powell's Comments (07:14) It's All About Liquidity (10:30) “Curve Ad” (11:40) It's All About Liquidity (12:33) One Of Lagarde's Worst ECB Press Conferences (22:00) “Wisdom Tree Ad” (22:33) Actionable Trade Ideas -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on The Macro Trading Floor should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Alfonso Peccatiello and Brent Donnelly bring the high-stakes energy of a dealing room straight to your headphones with The Macro Trading Floor. This isn't a dry lecture on economic theory; it's a dynamic conversation where complex global themes-from central bank decisions and inflation trends to geopolitical shifts and technological disruptions-are translated into clear market language. You'll hear their unfiltered analysis and genuine back-and-forth, which often leads to specific, actionable ideas for navigating currencies, bonds, and equities. The discussion naturally spans business, investing, and news, reflecting the hosts' own trading-floor mentality where all information is connected. Tune in for a blend of seasoned perspective and lively debate that makes understanding the forces moving your money both engaging and practical. Each episode of this podcast feels like getting a direct feed from two experts who are as focused on the "why" behind market moves as they are on the potential opportunities those moves create.
Author: Language: English Episodes: 100

The Macro Trading Floor
Podcast Episodes
Macro Crossroads: What's Next For Markets? [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 36:18
Alf and Brent discuss the crossroads ahead of us for the economy and markets: the USD selling seems to have lost steam, and tariffs' impact on the economy won't be easy to judge for months. So, what lies ahead of us?
Time For The Fed To Turn Dovish? [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 32:59
Alf and Brent discuss the recent soft CPI print and the state of the US labor market. They highlight the odds of a dovish Fed pivot, and what that might entail for markets. Transcript: https://www.spectramarkets.com/tmtf…
Another $5 Trillion of US Deficits in 10 Years: Now What? [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 22:42
Alf and Brent discuss recent market developments with a focus on the ''big beautiful bill'' that Republicans are trying to pass in the House and Senate. The initial estimate suggest new tax cuts would increase US budget…
Recession Risks & Reflexivity [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 36:18
Alf and Brent discuss the reflexivity bias: now that the S&P500 is rallying again, investors are keen to talk about AI Capex driving indexes higher - where were they when we hit 4,800? Always be aware of your negative an…
Trillions of US Dollars To Sell?! [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 32:05
This week, Alf and Brent focus on an obscure yet crucial component of FX flows: the hedging needs from large institutional investors. These whales own $33+ trillion of USD-denominated assets, and over the last 15 years t…
The Bond Vigilantes Are Here [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 36:48
Alf and Brent discuss the incredible price action we are witnessing: USD down, equities down, and now bond yields up too. This is what Bond Vigilantes price action looks like, and while it's typical in emerging markets i…
You Ready For Liberation Day? [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 36:31
Alf and Brent discuss the ''Liberation Day'' deadline for tariffs - and come up with some interesting conclusions. Also, the duo assesses what the Trump administration's long-term plan might be. Finally, Alf and Brent di…
Wake Up: The German Fiscal Stimulus Is Huge [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 36:44
Alf and Brent discuss the German fiscal stimulus announcement: with its gigantic magnitude and fast-track process, this marks a historical turnaround for Germany and Europe. The implications for markets are big in stocks…
Growth Scare: Yes or No? [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 37:42
Alf and Brent unpack the last big market moves which investors are broadly interpreting as a growth scare. Is that the correct interpretation? And in general: are we going to have a US growth scare or not?
The Next Big Macro Trade [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 35:42
Markets are caught between cross currents, and the thesis for a stronger USD / sticky inflation seems as valid as the thesis for gentle disinflation / slower growth. Brent and Alf discuss what the next big macro trade co…