Matthew Stafford Overrated; Regret Aversion

Matthew Stafford Overrated; Regret Aversion

Author: Kevin Cole July 14, 2021 Duration: 52:28

(4:55) Kevin breaks down Stafford’s PFF grades leading up to his trade to the Rams (8:00) Breaking down Stafford’s 2020 Ranking (10th) to 2021 (6th) (10:20) Kevin breaks down Stafford’s lack of production despite having top tier receivers (11:40) Why Lamar Jackson should be ranked higher than Stafford headed into 2021 (13:17) Matt Stafford: Overrated?Lamar Jackson: Underrated? (14:51) Is it possible to be underrated if everyone thinks you are underrated? (18:06) Looking into the media/fans determining who is overrated/underrated/right on point (19:59) Breaking down Fantasy Running backs for your upcoming draft (20:42) Why 2nd/3rd year running backs should be your main focus when drafting for Fantasy

(23:25) Kevin highlights RBs to look out for in 2021: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Zack Moss, Devin Singletary (26:45) Regret Aversion: Kevin talks about Kyle Shannahan’s biggest regret as a play caller, looks into analytics of offensive play calling/decision making (40:13) Kevin looks into mitigating regret aversion as a decision maker and the sacrifices that need to be made



This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe

In a landscape crowded with hot takes and instant reactions, Unexpected Points offers a different kind of football conversation. Hosted by data scientist Kevin Cole, this podcast digs beneath the surface of the NFL's weekly narratives and long-term trends. The analysis here isn't about confirming what we think we know; it's about questioning those very assumptions with a rigorous, evidence-based approach. You'll hear discussions that blend the granular details of fantasy football decisions with the broader strategic forces shaping the league. Cole breaks down complex statistical concepts into accessible insights, focusing on why certain patterns emerge and what they genuinely mean for teams, players, and the future of the game. It's for anyone who wants to move beyond the conventional wisdom and understand the deeper mechanics at play. Tune in for a thoughtful, analytical perspective that consistently finds the compelling story hidden within the numbers. This is a sports podcast built on curiosity and a healthy skepticism for the easy answer, making each episode a journey into the less-charted territory of professional football.
Author: Language: English Episodes: 306

Unexpected Points
Podcast Episodes
Chiefs are (again) the Super Bowl Favorites, MNF & Week 16 Review [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 1:17:22
Kevin and Ben Brown go through the Week 16 slate of games with the biggest takeaways for futures and team strength. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus ep…
Packers & Rodgers Flying High, NFL Week 15 & MNF Review [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 1:40:36
PFF's Ben Brown joins Kevin to talk through the Week 15 games through MNF. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/su…
Chiefs Keep the Crown, TNF Chiefs-Chargers Review, Week 15 Best Bets [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 43:46
Kevin breaks down the TNF matchup, who the Jags should hire as head coach and Week 15 best bets. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.u…
Rams Prove They're in the Elite, MNF & Week 14 Review [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 1:46:09
Kevin is joined by PFF's Ben Brown to talk through all the Week 14 action from an analytical perspective. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, vi…
TNF Review Vikings-Steelers, Belichick Brilliance, Week 14 Best Bets [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 49:18
Kevin reviews Vikings-Steelers, discusses the Belichick-McDermott discourse and gives a few best bets for this Sunday. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus…
MNF Patriots-Bills & NFL Week 13 Review [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 1:28:01
Kevin reviews the games from Week 13. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
NFL Week 12 Review, Russ Cooked, Pats March On [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 1:31:32
Kevin goes through the results and advanced stats for the Week 12 slate of games. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints…
Thanksgiving NFL Reviews, Week 12 Best Bets [not-audio_url] [/not-audio_url]

Duration: 36:51
Kevin reviews Lions-Bear, Raiders-Cowboys and Saints-Bills. Plus, a few best bets for Sunday. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unex…