To close out the 2024 season of the Derivative podcast, host Jeff Malec sits down with two friends of the pod, and friends of his - Jason Buck and Zed Francis - for a wide-ranging discussion on the state of the markets, the unpredictability of macro events, and the importance of understanding underlying structures and dynamics. The conversation begins with an exploration of the unexpected market reactions following the first Trump election (in ‘16), highlighting the challenges of the past, and ends with making sort of, semi- predictions for the year ahead in 2025. The guests delve into the concept of "volatility echoes" and how past events can influence future market reactions. The discussion then shifts to the impact of interest rates, with the guests analyzing the significant moves in the long end of the Treasury curve during the recent election week. They debate the potential implications for asset classes and the role of political influence on market dynamics. Beyond the macro landscape, the podcast also touches on the evolution of option strategies, the rise and fall of "pod shops," and the importance of liquidity and market maker strategies in stabilizing markets. The guests share their insights on navigating the complexities of the financial world. While the core of the conversation focuses on the markets, the episode also features a fun and engaging segment where the hosts and guests engage in a "Mount Rushmore" challenge, sharing their top picks for burgers, dive bars, and fine dining experiences around the world. You found it - the pod that gives you financial insights and culinary recommendations - so bring your appetite for mind and body…this ones’ juicy! SEND IT!
Chapters:
00:00-01:38= Intro
01:39-13:39= Recency Bias and the Volatility of Election
Reactions
13:40-25:40= GOLD & the Delicate Balance of Market
Resilience / Activist investors & Risk Adjusted returns
25:41-37:29= 2024’s most interesting trades & Stability
Breeds Instability
37:30-48:51= Rates, Risks, & Realized Volatility
48:52-01:01:11= Outflows, Podshops & Random bones for
the future
01:01:12-01:20:20= Menus & Markets: Mount Rushmores of
eateries from “Culinary Experts” & 2025 insight
Follow along on X (Twitter) and LinkedIn with our guests Jason @jasoncbuck | LinkedIn and Zed @convexitas | LinkedIn
Don't forget to subscribe to The Derivative, follow us on Twitter at @rcmAlts and our host Jeff at @AttainCap2, or LinkedIn , and Facebook, and sign-up for our blog digest.
Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, business, or tax advice. All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of RCM Alternatives, their affiliates, or companies featured. Due to industry regulations, participants on this podcast are instructed not to make specific trade recommendations, nor reference past or potential profits. And listeners are reminded that managed futures, commodity trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. For more information, visit www.rcmalternatives.com/disclaimer
